What Is Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The (SMG) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The at its current price of $63.90. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $68.58 (+7.3% average return), with 7 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $249.21 (+290.0%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $2.06 (-96.8%). This +386.8% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The's intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About SMG?
12 of 13 models are currently active for SMG. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SMG's intrinsic value at $63.76, implying -0.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does SMG Rank in Agricultural Chemicals?
Among 12 Agricultural Chemicals stocks, SMG ranks #7 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.5 indicates above-average quality.
As a industrial sector, Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The operates in a sector where aftermarket revenue mix is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating SMG should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is SMG a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SMG a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The is rated at 6.5/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +386.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every SMG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across SMG's 12 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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