FMC Corporation (FMC) Fair Value 2026

FMC · Agricultural Inputs ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (23/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, FMC Corporation (FMC) trades at $10.66, versus a $33.24 median fair value across its 5 active models — 211.9% above the current price. QOC: 6.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 23/100 (SAFE). 5/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
FMC
Price
$10.66
Quality Score
6.2/10
Value Trap Risk
23/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +204.1% upside with 22% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (5/13) may reduce confidence

Is FMC Corporation (FMC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, FMC Corporation (FMC) appears undervalued as of : the median of 5 independent fair value estimates is $33.24, 211.9% above the current price of $10.66. Estimates range from $19.49 to $53.68. FMC scores 6.2/10 on fundamental quality and 23/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. FMC’s +211.9% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy FMC Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give FMC?

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($10.66)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $19.49 +82.8%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $32.42 +204.1%
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What Is FMC's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 5 independent models · $19.49 to $53.68

CirclFi's 5 active models place FMC Corporation (FMC) between $19.49 and $53.68 per share, a spread of 103% of the median. The median of that range — $33.24 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for FMC, against a current price of $10.66.

Low · EPVHigh · PWERM
$19.49median $33.24$53.68
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$19.49
Most bullish modelPWERM$53.68
Model agreement5 bullish · 0 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for FMC. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on FMC, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is FMC Corporation (FMC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, FMC Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $33.24. At a current market price of $10.66, 5 of 5 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +211.9%. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +403.5% (fair value: $53.68), while EPV is the most conservative at +82.8% ($19.49). The spread between these extremes — +320.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About FMC?

5 of 13 models are currently active for FMC. All 5 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for FMC is $33.24 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does FMC Rank in Agricultural Inputs?

Among 16 Agricultural Inputs stocks, FMC ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.2 indicates above-average quality.

FMC Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is FMC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FMC a score of 23/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for FMC Corporation. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, FMC Corporation earns a quality score of 6.2/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +320.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every FMC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across FMC's 5 active models, average confidence is 36%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy FMC Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Agricultural Inputs Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Agricultural Inputs stocks with 13-model coverage

BIOXBioceres Crop Solutions Corp.QOC 6.4AVDAmerican Vanguard CorporationQOC 6.0SMGThe Scotts Miracle-Gro CompanyQOC 6.9PUBCPureBase CorporationQOC 5.5NTRNutrien Ltd.QOC 7.4SEEDOrigin Agritech LimitedQOC 5.5VRDRVerde Resources, Inc.QOC 5.4CFCF Industries Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.4IPIIntrepid Potash, Inc.QOC 7.4UANCVR Partners, LPQOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: BIOX · AVD · SMG · PUBC · NTR · SEED · VRDR · CF · IPI · UAN

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to FMC?

7 companies across all industries closest to FMC’s Quality of Company score of 6.2/10.

DERMJourney Medical CorporationQOC 6.2BCHTBirchtech Corp.QOC 6.2LILALiberty Latin America Ltd.QOC 6.2SFIXStitch Fix, Inc.QOC 6.2LGIHLGI Homes, Inc.QOC 6.2SMTKSmartKem, Inc.QOC 6.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: DERM · BCHT · LILA · SFIX · LGIH · SMTK · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About FMC Corporation’s Valuation?

What is FMC Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts FMC Corporation (FMC)'s intrinsic value at $33.24 — the median of 5 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $19.49 to $53.68. The Quality of Company score is 6.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is FMC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $10.66, 5 of 5 active models suggest FMC may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 5 fair value estimates is $33.24, 211.9% above the current price of $10.66 — a consensus view that FMC is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits FMC Corporation's business model in Agricultural Inputs.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.2 mean for FMC?

FMC Corporation's QOC of 6.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on FMC?

CirclFi analyzes FMC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on FMC?

Of the 5 models currently active on FMC, PWERM is the most bullish at $53.68 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $19.49. CirclFi's published fair value for FMC is the median of that range, $33.24, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 103% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is FMC a value trap in 2026?

FMC Corporation's Value Trap score is 23/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, FMC Corporation (FMC) has a median fair value of $33.24 — 211.9% above the current price of $10.66 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/FMC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this FMC valuation
  • Financial statements: FMC Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000037785) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for FMC as of ; valuations recomputed .

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