FMC Corporation (FMC) Fair Value 2026

FMC · Chemicals & Allied Products ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (20/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, FMC Corporation (FMC) trades at $10.90, approximately 82% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $60.04. QOC: 6.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 20/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
FMC
Price
$10.90
Quality Score
6.6/10
Value Trap Risk
20/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +467.5% upside with 3% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($10.90)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$60.04 +450.5%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$61.88 +467.5%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$15.65 +43.5%
Markov DDM
High Conviction
$12.27 +12.5%

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What Is FMC Corporation (FMC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, FMC Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $28.11. At a current market price of $10.91, 8 of 10 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting an average implied return of +157.8%. Notably, CUCE sees the most upside at +467.5% (fair value: $61.88), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -75.8% ($2.64). The spread between these extremes — +543.2% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About FMC?

10 of 13 models are currently active for FMC. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates FMC's intrinsic value at $60.04, implying +450.5% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does FMC Rank in Chemicals & Allied Products?

Among 14 Chemicals & Allied Products stocks, FMC ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.6 indicates above-average quality.

The Chemicals & Allied Products sector introduces analytical considerations specific to manufacturing company businesses. For FMC Corporation, metrics like order backlog depth provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is FMC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FMC a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for FMC Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, FMC Corporation earns a quality score of 6.6/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +543.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every FMC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across FMC's 10 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy FMC Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Chemicals & Allied Products Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Chemicals & Allied Products stocks with 13-model coverage

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Frequently Asked Questions About FMC Corporation

What is FMC Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, FMC Corporation (FMC) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $60.04. The Quality of Company score is 6.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is FMC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $10.90, 8 of 10 active models suggest FMC may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits FMC Corporation's business model in Chemicals & Allied Products.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.6 mean for FMC?

FMC Corporation's QOC of 6.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on FMC?

CirclFi analyzes FMC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is FMC a value trap in 2026?

FMC Corporation's Value Trap score is 20/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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