American Vanguard Corporation (AVD) Fair Value 2026

AVD · Agricultural Inputs ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, American Vanguard Corporation (AVD) trades at $2.18. QOC: 6.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AVD
Price
$2.18
Quality Score
6.0/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: PWERM suggests +419.4% upside with 35% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (1/13) may reduce confidence

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give AVD?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.18)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
 $11.32 +419.4%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is American Vanguard Corporation (AVD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for American Vanguard Corporation. Trading at $2.18 against an estimated intrinsic value of $11.32, 1 of 1 active models flag meaningful upside of +419.4% at the median.

What Do the Models Say About AVD?

1 of 13 models are currently active for AVD. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AVD Rank in Agricultural Inputs?

Among 16 Agricultural Inputs stocks, AVD ranks #10 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.0 indicates above-average quality.

American Vanguard Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is AVD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AVD a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for American Vanguard Corporation. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, American Vanguard Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 6.0/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AVD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AVD's 1 active models, average confidence is 35%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy American Vanguard Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Agricultural Inputs Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Agricultural Inputs stocks with 13-model coverage

FMCFMC CorporationQOC 6.2PUBCPureBase CorporationQOC 5.5BIOXBioceres Crop Solutions Corp.QOC 6.4SEEDOrigin Agritech LimitedQOC 5.5SMGThe Scotts Miracle-Gro CompanyQOC 6.9VRDRVerde Resources, Inc.QOC 5.4GNVRGenvor IncorporatedQOC 3.8UANCVR Partners, LPQOC 8.6NTRNutrien Ltd.QOC 7.4CFCF Industries Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.4

Read investment analysis: FMC · PUBC · BIOX · SEED · SMG · VRDR · GNVR · UAN · NTR · CF

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to AVD?

7 companies across all industries closest to AVD’s Quality of Company score of 6.0/10.

DVLTDatavault AI Inc.QOC 6.0NAMIJinxin Technology Holding CompanyQOC 6.0PSFEPaysafe LimitedQOC 6.0CABRCaring Brands, Inc.QOC 6.0KURAKura Oncology, Inc.QOC 6.0DGXXDigi Power X Inc.QOC 6.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: DVLT · NAMI · PSFE · CABR · KURA · DGXX · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About American Vanguard Corporation’s Valuation?

What is American Vanguard Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for American Vanguard Corporation (AVD). The Quality of Company score is 6.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AVD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.18, 1 of 1 active models suggest AVD may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits American Vanguard Corporation's business model in Agricultural Inputs.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.0 mean for AVD?

American Vanguard Corporation's QOC of 6.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AVD?

CirclFi analyzes AVD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is AVD a value trap in 2026?

American Vanguard Corporation's Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns American Vanguard Corporation (AVD) a Quality of Company score of 6.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AVD/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this AVD valuation
  • Financial statements: American Vanguard Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000005981) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for AVD as of ; valuations recomputed .