What Is American Vanguard Corporation (AVD) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on American Vanguard Corporation at $2.67. With an estimated intrinsic value of $5.44 and 7 of 11 models pointing higher, the average implied return is +103.7%. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $11.46 (+329.2%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $0.37 (-86.0%). This +415.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about American Vanguard Corporation's intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About AVD?
11 of 13 models are currently active for AVD. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates AVD's intrinsic value at $0.71, implying -73.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does AVD Rank in Agricultural Chemicals?
Among 12 Agricultural Chemicals stocks, AVD ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.0 reflects mixed fundamentals.
Within the Agricultural Chemicals space, American Vanguard Corporation competes in an environment where working capital efficiency often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is AVD a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AVD a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
11 of 13 models are active for American Vanguard Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, American Vanguard Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 6.0/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +415.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every AVD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across AVD's 11 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad