SenesTech, Inc. (SNES) Fair Value 2026

SNES · Specialty Chemicals ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (42/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, SenesTech, Inc. (SNES) trades at $1.10, versus a $1.49 median fair value across its 3 active models — 35.2% above the current price. QOC: 6.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 42/100 (WARN). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SNES
Price
$1.10
Quality Score
6.5/10
Value Trap Risk
42/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: Dynamic NAV suggests +167.5% upside with 52% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 42 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is SenesTech, Inc. (SNES) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, SenesTech, Inc. (SNES) appears undervalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $1.49, 35.2% above the current price of $1.10. Estimates range from $1.12 to $2.94. SNES scores 6.5/10 on fundamental quality and 42/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. SNES’s +35.2% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Specialty Chemicals sector median is -35.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy SenesTech, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SNES?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.10)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $1.12 +2.1%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $2.94 +167.5%
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
 $1.49 +35.2%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is SNES's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $1.12 to $2.94

CirclFi's 3 active models place SenesTech, Inc. (SNES) between $1.12 and $2.94 per share, a spread of 122% of the median. The median of that range — $1.49 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for SNES, against a current price of $1.10.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Dynamic NAV
$1.12median $1.49$2.94
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$1.12
Most bullish modelDynamic NAV$2.94
Model agreement2 bullish · 0 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for SNES. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on SNES, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is SenesTech, Inc. (SNES) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, SenesTech, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $1.49. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $1.10 (implied upside of +35.2%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 2 of 3 bullish models. Notably, Dynamic NAV sees the most upside at +167.5% (fair value: $2.94), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at +2.1% ($1.12). The spread between these extremes — +165.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About SNES?

3 of 13 models are currently active for SNES. All 3 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for SNES is $1.49 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SNES Rank in Specialty Chemicals?

Among 69 Specialty Chemicals stocks, SNES ranks #40 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.5 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Specialty Chemicals Stocks →

Within the Specialty Chemicals space, SenesTech, Inc. competes in an environment where margin expansion trajectory often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is SNES a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SNES a score of 42/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for SenesTech, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, SenesTech, Inc. is rated at 6.5/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +165.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SNES valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SNES's 3 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy SenesTech, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Chemicals Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Specialty Chemicals stocks with 13-model coverage

WLKWestlake CorporationQOC 6.6APDAir Products and Chemicals, Inc.QOC 6.5GEVOGevo, Inc.QOC 6.6MNTKMontauk Renewables, Inc.QOC 6.5IFFInternational Flavors & Fragrances Inc.QOC 6.8ASPNAspen Aerogels, Inc.QOC 6.4CLMTCalumet, Inc.QOC 4.9BCPCBalchem CorporationQOC 8.9SSLSasol LimitedQOC 7.7ODCOil-Dri Corporation of AmericaQOC 9.2RPMRPM International Inc.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: WLK · APD · GEVO · MNTK · IFF · ASPN · CLMT · BCPC · SSL · ODC · RPM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SNES?

7 companies across all industries closest to SNES’s Quality of Company score of 6.5/10.

RHNORhino Bitcoin Inc.QOC 6.5UISUnisys CorporationQOC 6.5FIGFigma, Inc.QOC 6.5UHALU-Haul Holding CompanyQOC 6.5INNSummit Hotel Properties, Inc.QOC 6.5EDNEmpresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad AnónimaQOC 6.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: RHNO · UIS · FIG · UHAL · INN · EDN · NVDA

Where Does SNES Sit in CirclFi's Specialty Chemicals Rankings?

SNES is ranked against every other Specialty Chemicals stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Specialty Chemicals stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About SenesTech, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is SenesTech, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts SenesTech, Inc. (SNES)'s intrinsic value at $1.49 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $1.12 to $2.94. The Quality of Company score is 6.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SNES overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.10, 3 of 3 active models suggest SNES may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $1.49, 35.2% above the current price of $1.10 — a consensus view that SNES is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits SenesTech, Inc.'s business model in Specialty Chemicals.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.5 mean for SNES?

SenesTech, Inc.'s QOC of 6.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SNES?

CirclFi analyzes SNES with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on SNES?

Of the 3 models currently active on SNES, Dynamic NAV is the most bullish at $2.94 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $1.12. CirclFi's published fair value for SNES is the median of that range, $1.49, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 122% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is SNES a value trap in 2026?

SenesTech, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 42/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, SenesTech, Inc. (SNES) has a median fair value of $1.49 — 35.2% above the current price of $1.10 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SNES/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SNES valuation
  • Financial statements: SenesTech, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001680378) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for SNES as of ; valuations recomputed .