Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP) Fair Value 2026

AP · Metal Fabrication ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (26/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP) trades at $8.86. QOC: 5.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 26/100 (LOW). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AP
Price
$8.86
Quality Score
5.4/10
Value Trap Risk
26/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: PWERM suggests +109.4% upside with 35% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (1/13) may reduce confidence

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give AP?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($8.86)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
$18.55 +109.4%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $18.55. At a current market price of $8.86, 1 of 1 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +109.4%.

What Do the Models Say About AP?

1 of 13 models are currently active for AP. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AP Rank in Metal Fabrication?

Among 19 Metal Fabrication stocks, AP ranks #16 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.4 reflects mixed fundamentals.

As a manufacturing company, Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation operates in a sector where order backlog depth is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating AP should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is AP a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AP a score of 26/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 5.4/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AP valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AP's 1 active models, average confidence is 35%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Metal Fabrication Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Metal Fabrication stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: LQMT · OLOX · GPGI · HIHO · TPCS · MTEN · MLI · WOR · MEC · CRS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to AP?

7 companies across all industries closest to AP’s Quality of Company score of 5.4/10.

Read investment analysis: HELP · XBP · WD · PDM · ENHA · UTKN · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP). The Quality of Company score is 5.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AP overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $8.86, 1 of 1 active models suggest AP may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation's business model in Metal Fabrication.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.4 mean for AP?

Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation's QOC of 5.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AP?

CirclFi analyzes AP with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is AP a value trap in 2026?

Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation's Value Trap score is 26/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP) a Quality of Company score of 5.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AP/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this AP valuation
  • Financial statements: Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000006176) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for AP as of ; valuations recomputed .