FTC Solar, Inc. (FTCI) Fair Value 2026

FTCI · Solar ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (32/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, FTC Solar, Inc. (FTCI) trades at $2.55. QOC: 5.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 32/100 (LOW). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
FTCI
Price
$2.55
Quality Score
5.1/10
Value Trap Risk
32/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: PWERM suggests +97.6% upside with 33% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (1/13) may reduce confidence

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give FTCI?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.55)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
 $5.04 +97.6%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is FTC Solar, Inc. (FTCI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for FTC Solar, Inc.. Trading at $2.55 against an estimated intrinsic value of $5.04, 1 of 1 active models flag meaningful upside of +97.6% at the median.

What Do the Models Say About FTCI?

1 of 13 models are currently active for FTCI. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does FTCI Rank in Solar?

Among 23 Solar stocks, FTCI ranks #15 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.1 reflects mixed fundamentals.

FTC Solar, Inc.'s positioning within the Solar segment means that debt-to-EBITDAX plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including production growth trajectory — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is FTCI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FTCI a score of 32/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for FTC Solar, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, FTC Solar, Inc. earns a quality score of 5.1/10. This mixed rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every FTCI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across FTCI's 1 active models, average confidence is 33%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy FTC Solar, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Solar Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Solar stocks with 13-model coverage

TURBTurbo Energy, S.A.QOC 5.2SMXTSolarMax Technology, Inc.QOC 5.1BEEMBeam GlobalQOC 5.3ZEOZeo Energy Corp.QOC 5.0SUNESUNation Energy Inc.QOC 5.6HYSRSunHydrogen, Inc.QOC 4.6PTOSP2 Solar, IncQOC 3.6ENPHEnphase Energy, Inc.QOC 8.4ARRYArray Technologies, Inc.QOC 6.5FSLRFirst Solar, Inc.QOC 9.3NXTNextpower Inc.QOC 8.7

Read investment analysis: TURB · SMXT · BEEM · ZEO · SUNE · HYSR · PTOS · ENPH · ARRY · FSLR · NXT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to FTCI?

7 companies across all industries closest to FTCI’s Quality of Company score of 5.1/10.

ENTAEnanta Pharmaceuticals, Inc.QOC 5.1VENUVenu Holding CorporationQOC 5.1ISOUIsoEnergy Ltd.QOC 5.1CLYMClimb Bio, Inc.QOC 5.1XBITXBiotech Inc.QOC 5.1ORKAOruka Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 5.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ENTA · VENU · ISOU · CLYM · XBIT · ORKA · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About FTC Solar, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is FTC Solar, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for FTC Solar, Inc. (FTCI). The Quality of Company score is 5.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is FTCI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.55, 1 of 1 active models suggest FTCI may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits FTC Solar, Inc.'s business model in Solar.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.1 mean for FTCI?

FTC Solar, Inc.'s QOC of 5.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on FTCI?

CirclFi analyzes FTCI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is FTCI a value trap in 2026?

FTC Solar, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 32/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns FTC Solar, Inc. (FTCI) a Quality of Company score of 5.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/FTCI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this FTCI valuation
  • Financial statements: FTC Solar, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001828161) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for FTCI as of ; valuations recomputed .