Zeo Energy Corp. (ZEO) Fair Value 2026

ZEO · Solar ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (29/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Zeo Energy Corp. (ZEO) trades at $0.32, versus a $0.65 median fair value across its 2 active models — 103.7% above the current price. QOC: 5.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 29/100 (LOW). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ZEO
Price
$0.32
Quality Score
5.0/10
Value Trap Risk
29/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: FTNN Topology suggests +137.4% upside with 6% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 5.0/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Zeo Energy Corp. (ZEO) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Zeo Energy Corp. (ZEO) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $0.65, 103.7% above the current price of $0.32. Estimates range from $0.54 to $0.75. ZEO scores 5.0/10 on fundamental quality and 29/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. ZEO’s +103.7% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Zeo Energy Corp. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ZEO?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.32)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
$0.54 +69.9%
Relative · Low Conviction
$0.75 +137.4%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Zeo Energy Corp. (ZEO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Zeo Energy Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $0.65. At a current market price of $0.32, 2 of 2 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +103.7%. Notably, FTNN sees the most upside at +137.4% (fair value: $0.75), while PWERM is the most conservative at +69.9% ($0.54). The spread between these extremes — +67.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About ZEO?

2 of 13 models are currently active for ZEO. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for ZEO is $0.65 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ZEO Rank in Solar?

Among 22 Solar stocks, ZEO ranks #17 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.0 reflects mixed fundamentals.

The Solar sector introduces analytical considerations specific to oil and gas company businesses. For Zeo Energy Corp., metrics like finding and development costs (F&D) provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is ZEO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ZEO a score of 29/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Zeo Energy Corp.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Zeo Energy Corp. earns a quality score of 5.0/10. This mixed rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +67.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ZEO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ZEO's 2 active models, average confidence is 19%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Zeo Energy Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Solar Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Solar stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: SMXT · HYSR · FTCI · SPWR · TURB · PTOS · CSIQ · SPRU · ASTI · FSLR · NXT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ZEO?

7 companies across all industries closest to ZEO’s Quality of Company score of 5.0/10.

Read investment analysis: LCFY · OFAL · CETY · BGY · NEWH · NORD · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Zeo Energy Corp.’s Valuation?

What is Zeo Energy Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Zeo Energy Corp. (ZEO)'s intrinsic value at $0.65 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.54 to $0.75. The Quality of Company score is 5.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ZEO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.32, 2 of 2 active models suggest ZEO may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $0.65, 103.7% above the current price of $0.32 — a consensus view that ZEO is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Zeo Energy Corp.'s business model in Solar.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.0 mean for ZEO?

Zeo Energy Corp.'s QOC of 5.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ZEO?

CirclFi analyzes ZEO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ZEO a value trap in 2026?

Zeo Energy Corp.'s Value Trap score is 29/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Zeo Energy Corp. (ZEO) has a median fair value of $0.65 — 103.7% above the current price of $0.32 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ZEO/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ZEO valuation
  • Financial statements: Zeo Energy Corp. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001865506) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ZEO as of ; valuations recomputed .