SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. (SEDG) Fair Value 2026

SEDG · Solar ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (20/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. (SEDG) trades at $31.41, versus a $16.04 median fair value across its 5 active models — 48.9% below the current price. QOC: 7.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 20/100 (SAFE). 5/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $10.74.

Key Facts

Ticker
SEDG
Price
$31.41
Quality Score
7.1/10
Value Trap Risk
20/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: 5 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. (SEDG) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. (SEDG) appears overvalued as of : the median of 5 independent fair value estimates is $16.04, 48.9% below the current price of $31.41. Estimates range from $10.74 to $18.87. SEDG scores 7.1/10 on fundamental quality and 20/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. SEDG’s -48.9% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SEDG?

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($31.41)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $10.74 -65.8%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $15.84 -49.6%
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What Is SEDG's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 5 independent models · $10.74 to $18.87

CirclFi's 5 active models place SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. (SEDG) between $10.74 and $18.87 per share, a spread of 51% of the median. The median of that range — $16.04 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for SEDG, against a current price of $31.41.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · FTNN
$10.74median $16.04$18.87
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$10.74
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$18.87
Model agreement0 bullish · 5 bearishmoderate

A band of this width is typical. The methods agree on direction but weight growth, reinvestment and risk differently, so treat the median as a centre of gravity rather than a precise target.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on SEDG, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. (SEDG) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, SolarEdge Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $16.04, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $31.41. With 5 out of 5 models flagging downside (-48.9% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth.

What Do the Models Say About SEDG?

5 of 13 models are currently active for SEDG. All 5 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for SEDG is $16.04 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $10.74 on its own, implying -65.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SEDG Rank in Solar?

Among 23 Solar stocks, SEDG ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.1 indicates above-average quality.

Within the Solar space, SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. competes in an environment where debt-to-EBITDAX often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is SEDG a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SEDG a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for SolarEdge Technologies, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. is rated at 7.1/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

Models cluster within a tight range (+25.9% spread), increasing conviction. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SEDG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SEDG's 5 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Solar Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Solar stocks with 13-model coverage

SHLSShoals Technologies Group, Inc.QOC 7.4SPRUSpruce Power Holding CorporationQOC 6.8ENPHEnphase Energy, Inc.QOC 8.4RUNSunrun Inc.QOC 6.8NXTNextpower Inc.QOC 8.7JKSJinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd.QOC 6.7TYGOTigo Energy, Inc.QOC 5.9SMXTSolarMax Technology, Inc.QOC 5.1PNPN Smart Energy LimitedQOC 2.9FSLRFirst Solar, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: SHLS · SPRU · ENPH · RUN · NXT · JKS · TYGO · SMXT · PN · FSLR

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SEDG?

7 companies across all industries closest to SEDG’s Quality of Company score of 7.1/10.

DNOWDNOW Inc.QOC 7.1RSKDRiskified Ltd.QOC 7.1ASTHAstrana Health, Inc.QOC 7.1EBSEmergent BioSolutions Inc.QOC 7.1MTHMeritage Homes CorporationQOC 7.1EPMEvolution Petroleum CorporationQOC 7.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: DNOW · RSKD · ASTH · EBS · MTH · EPM · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About SolarEdge Technologies, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is SolarEdge Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. (SEDG)'s intrinsic value at $16.04 — the median of 5 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $10.74 to $18.87. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $10.74 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SEDG overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $31.41, 0 of 5 active models suggest SEDG may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 5 fair value estimates is $16.04, 48.9% below the current price of $31.41 — a consensus view that SEDG is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits SolarEdge Technologies, Inc.'s business model in Solar.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.1 mean for SEDG?

SolarEdge Technologies, Inc.'s QOC of 7.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SEDG?

CirclFi analyzes SEDG with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on SEDG?

Of the 5 models currently active on SEDG, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $18.87 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $10.74. CirclFi's published fair value for SEDG is the median of that range, $16.04, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 51% of the median — a normal spread for a company of this profile. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is SEDG a value trap in 2026?

SolarEdge Technologies, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 20/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. (SEDG) has a median fair value of $16.04 — 48.9% below the current price of $31.41 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SEDG/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SEDG valuation
  • Financial statements: SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001419612) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for SEDG as of ; valuations recomputed .

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