JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. (JKS) Fair Value 2026

JKS · Solar ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 4 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (41/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. (JKS) trades at $13.51, versus a $10.67 median fair value across its 4 active models — 21.0% below the current price. QOC: 6.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 41/100 (WARN). 4/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $7.76.

Key Facts

Ticker
JKS
Price
$13.51
Quality Score
6.7/10
Value Trap Risk
41/100
Models Active
4/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +95.8% upside with 2% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 41 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. (JKS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 4-model valuation engine, JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. (JKS) appears overvalued as of : the median of 4 independent fair value estimates is $10.67, 21.0% below the current price of $13.51. Estimates range from $7.76 to $26.45. JKS scores 6.7/10 on fundamental quality and 41/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. JKS’s -21.0% gap is narrower than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give JKS?

4 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($13.51)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $7.76 -42.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $26.45 +95.8%
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What Is JKS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 4 independent models · $7.76 to $26.45

CirclFi's 4 active models place JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. (JKS) between $7.76 and $26.45 per share, a spread of 175% of the median. The median of that range — $10.67 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for JKS, against a current price of $13.51.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · CUCE
$7.76median $10.67$26.45
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$7.76
Most bullish modelCUCE$26.45
Model agreement1 bullish · 3 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for JKS. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on JKS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. (JKS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $10.67. Trading at its current price of $13.51, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 3 of 4 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -21.0%. Notably, CUCE sees the most upside at +95.8% (fair value: $26.45), while Bayesian DCF is the most conservative at -42.6% ($7.76). The spread between these extremes — +138.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About JKS?

4 of 13 models are currently active for JKS. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for JKS is $10.67 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $7.76 on its own, implying -42.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does JKS Rank in Solar?

Among 22 Solar stocks, JKS ranks #8 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.7 indicates above-average quality.

JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd.'s positioning within the Solar segment means that capital efficiency ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including energy transition positioning — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is JKS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns JKS a score of 41/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

4 of 13 models are active for JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. scores 6.7 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +138.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every JKS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across JKS's 4 active models, average confidence is 32%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Solar Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Solar stocks with 13-model coverage

RUNSunrun Inc.QOC 6.8ARRYArray Technologies, Inc.QOC 6.5SPRUSpruce Power Holding CorporationQOC 6.8TYGOTigo Energy, Inc.QOC 5.9SEDGSolarEdge Technologies, Inc.QOC 7.1ASTIAscent Solar Technologies, IncQOC 5.7BEEMBeam GlobalQOC 5.3SPWRSunPower Inc.QOC 4.5NXTNextpower Inc.QOC 8.7FSLRFirst Solar, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: RUN · ARRY · SPRU · TYGO · SEDG · ASTI · BEEM · SPWR · NXT · FSLR

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to JKS?

7 companies across all industries closest to JKS’s Quality of Company score of 6.7/10.

SRIStoneridge, Inc.QOC 6.7NODKNI Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.7INGNInogen, Inc.QOC 6.7SNNFSeneca Bancorp, Inc.QOC 6.7ZLABZai Lab LimitedQOC 6.7NSPInsperity, Inc.QOC 6.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: SRI · NODK · INGN · SNNF · ZLAB · NSP · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd.’s Valuation?

What is JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. (JKS)'s intrinsic value at $10.67 — the median of 4 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $7.76 to $26.45. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $7.76 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is JKS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $13.51, 1 of 4 active models suggest JKS may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 4 fair value estimates is $10.67, 21.0% below the current price of $13.51 — a consensus view that JKS is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd.'s business model in Solar.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.7 mean for JKS?

JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd.'s QOC of 6.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on JKS?

CirclFi analyzes JKS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 4 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on JKS?

Of the 4 models currently active on JKS, CUCE is the most bullish at $26.45 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $7.76. CirclFi's published fair value for JKS is the median of that range, $10.67, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 175% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is JKS a value trap in 2026?

JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd.'s Value Trap score is 41/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 4-model valuation engine, JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. (JKS) has a median fair value of $10.67 — 21.0% below the current price of $13.51 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/JKS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this JKS valuation
  • Financial statements: JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001481513) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for JKS as of ; valuations recomputed .

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