What Is Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Peabody Energy Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $32.61, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $24.04. With an average implied return of +35.6% across a split 6–4 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +427.2% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +341.7% (fair value: $106.20), while Sentiment SOTP is the most conservative at -85.5% ($3.50). The spread between these extremes — +427.2% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About BTU?
13 of 13 models are currently active for BTU. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates BTU's intrinsic value at $56.34, implying +134.4% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does BTU Rank in Bituminous Coal & Lignite Surface Mining?
Among 5 Bituminous Coal & Lignite Surface Mining stocks, BTU ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.5 indicates above-average quality.
Within the Bituminous Coal & Lignite Surface Mining space, Peabody Energy Corporation competes in an environment where reserve life index often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is BTU a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BTU a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Peabody Energy Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Peabody Energy Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 6.5/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +427.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every BTU valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across BTU's 13 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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