What Is NACCO Industries, Inc. (NC) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on NACCO Industries, Inc. at its current price of $47.53. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $34.17 (-28.1% average return), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, ML-RIV sees the most upside at +62.7% (fair value: $77.35), while RCMH-DCF is the most conservative at -98.1% ($0.92). The spread between these extremes — +160.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About NC?
13 of 13 models are currently active for NC. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates NC's intrinsic value at $9.12, implying -80.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does NC Rank in Bituminous Coal & Lignite Surface Mining?
Among 5 Bituminous Coal & Lignite Surface Mining stocks, NC ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.3 places NC in the top tier.
Within the Bituminous Coal & Lignite Surface Mining space, NACCO Industries, Inc. competes in an environment where debt-to-EBITDAX often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is NC a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NC a score of 10/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for NACCO Industries, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, NACCO Industries, Inc. is rated at 8.3/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +160.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every NC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across NC's 13 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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