What Is Alliance Resource Partners, L.P (ARLP) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Alliance Resource Partners, L.P at $24.94. With an estimated intrinsic value of $41.75 and 9 of 13 models pointing higher, the average implied return is +67.4%. The most optimistic model, Bayesian DCF, places fair value at $105.24 (+322.0%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $7.11 (-71.5%). This +393.4% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Alliance Resource Partners, L.P's intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About ARLP?
13 of 13 models are currently active for ARLP. Of these, 9 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ARLP's intrinsic value at $105.24, implying +322.0% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ARLP Rank in Bituminous Coal & Lignite Surface Mining?
Among 5 Bituminous Coal & Lignite Surface Mining stocks, ARLP ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.2 places ARLP in the top tier.
Within the Bituminous Coal & Lignite Surface Mining space, Alliance Resource Partners, L.P competes in an environment where debt-to-EBITDAX often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is ARLP a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ARLP a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Alliance Resource Partners, L.P is rated at 8.2/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +393.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ARLP valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ARLP's 13 active models, average confidence is 36%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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