What Is Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Ferguson Enterprises Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $200.10. Trading at $233.22, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -14.2%), as 9 of 13 models suggest limited further upside. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +201.5% (fair value: $703.20), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -97.0% ($6.91). The spread between these extremes — +298.6% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About FERG?
13 of 13 models are currently active for FERG. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates FERG's intrinsic value at $188.58, implying -19.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does FERG Rank in Wholesale-Hardware & Plumbing & Heating Equipment & Supplies?
Among 2 Wholesale-Hardware & Plumbing & Heating Equipment & Supplies stocks, FERG ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.9 places FERG in the top tier.
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is FERG a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for FERG. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Ferguson Enterprises Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Ferguson Enterprises Inc. earns a quality score of 8.9/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +298.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every FERG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across FERG's 13 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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