Weis Markets, Inc. (WMK) Fair Value 2026

WMK · Grocery Stores ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Weis Markets, Inc. (WMK) trades at $70.49, versus a $47.96 median fair value across its 11 active models — 32.0% below the current price. QOC: 7.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $8.98.

Key Facts

Ticker
WMK
Price
$70.49
Quality Score
7.6/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: 11 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Weis Markets, Inc. (WMK) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Weis Markets, Inc. (WMK) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $47.96, 32.0% below the current price of $70.49. Estimates range from $8.98 to $99.66. WMK scores 7.6/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. WMK’s -32.0% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Weis Markets, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give WMK?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($70.49)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $8.98 -87.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $55.50 -21.3%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $44.25 -37.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $47.96 -32.0%
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What Is WMK's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $8.98 to $99.66

CirclFi's 11 active models place Weis Markets, Inc. (WMK) between $8.98 and $99.66 per share, a spread of 189% of the median. The median of that range — $47.96 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for WMK, against a current price of $70.49.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · FTNN
$8.98median $47.96$99.66
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$8.98
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$99.66
Model agreement2 bullish · 9 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for WMK. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on WMK, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Weis Markets, Inc. (WMK) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Weis Markets, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $47.96, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $70.49. With 9 out of 11 models flagging downside (-32.0% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: FTNN targets $99.66 (+41.4%), versus Bayesian DCF at $8.98 (-87.3%). This +128.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About WMK?

11 of 13 models are currently active for WMK. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for WMK is $47.96 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $8.98 on its own, implying -87.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does WMK Rank in Grocery Stores?

Among 12 Grocery Stores stocks, WMK ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.6 indicates above-average quality.

Weis Markets, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is WMK a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns WMK a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Weis Markets, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Weis Markets, Inc. is rated at 7.6/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +128.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every WMK valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across WMK's 11 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Weis Markets, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Grocery Stores Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Grocery Stores stocks with 13-model coverage

NGVCNatural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.QOC 8.6SFMSprouts Farmers Market, Inc.QOC 8.2DDLDingdong (Cayman) LimitedQOC 7.6KRThe Kroger Co.QOC 7.6ACIAlbertsons Companies, Inc.QOC 7.5MSSMaison Solutions Inc.QOC 7.1GOGrocery Outlet Holding Corp.QOC 6.5DNUTKrispy Kreme, Inc.QOC 5.2VHUBVenHub Global, Inc.QOC 5.1YSWYYesway, Inc.QOC 4.9HCWCHealthy Choice Wellness Corp.QOC 4.7

Read investment analysis: NGVC · SFM · DDL · KR · ACI · MSS · GO · DNUT · VHUB · YSWY · HCWC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to WMK?

7 companies across all industries closest to WMK’s Quality of Company score of 7.6/10.

CBRECBRE Group, Inc.QOC 7.6CSTMConstellium SEQOC 7.6JDJD.com, Inc.QOC 7.6ECOOkeanis Eco Tankers Corp.QOC 7.6CHRCheer Holding, Inc.QOC 7.6NANano Labs LtdQOC 7.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CBRE · CSTM · JD · ECO · CHR · NA · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Weis Markets, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Weis Markets, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Weis Markets, Inc. (WMK)'s intrinsic value at $47.96 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $8.98 to $99.66. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $8.98 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is WMK overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $70.49, 2 of 11 active models suggest WMK may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $47.96, 32.0% below the current price of $70.49 — a consensus view that WMK is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Weis Markets, Inc.'s business model in Grocery Stores.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.6 mean for WMK?

Weis Markets, Inc.'s QOC of 7.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on WMK?

CirclFi analyzes WMK with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on WMK?

Of the 11 models currently active on WMK, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $99.66 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $8.98. CirclFi's published fair value for WMK is the median of that range, $47.96, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 189% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is WMK a value trap in 2026?

Weis Markets, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Weis Markets, Inc. (WMK) has a median fair value of $47.96 — 32.0% below the current price of $70.49 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/WMK/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this WMK valuation
  • Financial statements: Weis Markets, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000105418) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for WMK as of ; valuations recomputed .

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