Should You Buy Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. Stock in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. (HII) scores a robust 7.7/10 on our 32-signal Quality of Company framework. At the current market price of $279.46 and a $11.0B market cap, our analysis maps this fundamental strength against 13 institutional-grade models to determine if a sufficient margin of safety exists.
The short answer: 9 of 11 CirclFi valuation models project upside for Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. (HII) at $279.46 — the model consensus leans bullish, with a Quality Score of 7.7/10 and Value-Trap risk of 0/100. The full bull case, bear case, and risk factors are below. Educational analysis, not financial advice.
What Is the Investment Case for Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. (HII) in 2026?
What Is the Bull Case vs the Bear Case for Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. (HII)?
| Bull case — $852.51 target (+205.1%) | Bear case — $142.44 target (-49.0%) |
|---|---|
| According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc.'s quality score of 7.7/10 demonstrates the operational excellence that historically correlates with long-term shareholder value creation. | According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the EROIC Spread model sees the stock as overvalued with a fair value of $142.44 (-49.0%), suggesting that the market price embeds overly optimistic growth assumptions. |
| According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the gap between the market price of $279.46 and the median fair value of $349.61 implies +25.1% upside potential. | According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the wide model spread of +254.1% reflects fundamental divergence on key assumptions (growth, cost of capital) depending on the methodology. |
| According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the Regime Cross-Sectional model targets a fair value of $852.51 (+205.1%), anchoring the bull case with a methodology that provides a differentiated analytical lens. | Industry headwind: program cost overruns represents a meaningful risk for Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. and its Aerospace & Defense peers. |
| Industry tailwind: commercial aviation recovery could provide meaningful support for Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc.'s revenue and margin trajectory in the Aerospace & Defense space. |
How Does HII Compare to Its Aerospace & Defense Peers?
Valuation data pages: FTAI · SARO · EMBJ · LOAR · CAE · KTOS · SIF · DFNS · WWD · BUKS · HWM
Which Other Stocks Score Like HII on Quality?
Closest companies to HII’s Quality of Company score of 7.7/10, across all industries.
- CMC — Commercial Metals Company (QOC 7.7) · analysis
- BHF — Brighthouse Financial, Inc. (QOC 7.7) · analysis
- MOH — Molina Healthcare, Inc. (QOC 7.7) · analysis
- NUS — Nu Skin Enterprises, Inc. (QOC 7.7) · analysis
- FPH — Five Point Holdings, LLC (QOC 7.7) · analysis
- NCT — Intercont (Cayman) Limited (QOC 7.7) · analysis
- NVDA — NVIDIA Corporation (QOC 10.0) · analysis
Which Aerospace & Defense Screens Does HII Appear In?
So Is Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. (HII) Worth Buying in 2026?
Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. leans positive in our analysis — 8/11 models bullish, median fair value of $349.61 vs. $279.46, QOC 7.7/10. The case is constructive but not overwhelming, and the 2 dissenting models shouldn't be dismissed. Position sizing should reflect this moderate conviction level.
These are quantitative model outputs, not investment recommendations. Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc.'s future depends on factors — management execution, competitive dynamics, regulatory changes — that no algorithm can fully capture. See all 13 model estimates →
What Else Do Investors Ask About HII Stock?
Should I buy HII stock right now?
Based on CirclFi's multi-model analysis, 9 of 11 models see upside for HII at $279.46. The majority of models suggest the stock trades below fair value, but investors should weigh this against the Quality Score of 7.7/10 and individual risk tolerance. This is not a buy recommendation — see our full disclaimer.
What are the biggest risks of investing in Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc.?
Key risks include: wide model disagreement (498% spread), signaling high uncertainty; general market and sector-specific risks affecting Aerospace & Defense companies. Always diversify and consult a financial advisor.
How does HII compare to its competitors?
Among Aerospace & Defense peers, HII holds a Quality Score of 7.7/10. Comparable companies include FTAI (QOC 7.8), SARO (QOC 7.7), EMBJ (QOC 7.8). The relative ranking helps investors identify whether HII offers better fundamental quality than alternatives in the same sector.
Is HII a good long-term investment?
Long-term investment potential depends on fundamental quality and sustainable competitive advantages. HII's Quality Score of 7.7/10 is encouraging for long-term holders, indicating consistent profitability, manageable debt, and healthy cash flows. Check our full data page for all 13 model estimates.
What price should I buy HII at?
CirclFi does not provide target buy prices or price alerts. However, our 11 active models produce fair value estimates ranging from $142.44 to $852.51. At $279.46, the stock trades within the range of model estimates. Many value investors look for a 20-30% margin of safety below intrinsic value before buying.
Want the complete picture?
See all 13 model estimates, confidence scores, and the full valuation table for HII.
Disclaimer: This article is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models and is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice, a buy/sell recommendation, or a solicitation to trade securities. Past performance is not indicative of future results. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR, FRED, and GDELT. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. Full disclaimer →
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