Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR) Fair Value 2026

LOAR · Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (5/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR) trades at $71.96, approximately 2791% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $2.49. QOC: 7.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 5/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
LOAR
Price
$71.96
Quality Score
7.5/10
Value Trap Risk
5/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: 13 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($71.96)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $2.49 -96.5%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
 $2.39 -96.7%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $13.13 -81.8%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
 $5.55 -92.3%

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What Is Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Loar Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $15.65. Trading at its current price of $71.96, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 12 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -78.2%. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $70.24 (-2.4%), versus Dynamic NAV at $1.44 (-98.0%). This +95.6% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About LOAR?

13 of 13 models are currently active for LOAR. All 13 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates LOAR's intrinsic value at $2.49, implying -96.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does LOAR Rank in Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC?

Among 11 Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC stocks, LOAR ranks #7 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.5 indicates above-average quality.

Loar Holdings Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is LOAR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns LOAR a score of 5/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Loar Holdings Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Loar Holdings Inc. earns a quality score of 7.5/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +95.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every LOAR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across LOAR's 13 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Loar Holdings Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC stocks with 13-model coverage

TDGTransdigm Group IncorporatedQOC 9.0PKEPark Aerospace Corp.QOC 8.8KRMNKarman Holdings Inc.QOC 8.8ATROAstronics CorporationQOC 8.3CVUCPI Aerostructures, Inc.QOC 8.1DCODucommun IncorporatedQOC 7.6EHEHang Holdings LimitedQOC 6.9FACTFACT II Acquisition Corp.QOC 4.7

Read investment analysis: TDG · PKE · KRMN · ATRO · CVU

Frequently Asked Questions About Loar Holdings Inc.

What is Loar Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $2.49. The Quality of Company score is 7.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is LOAR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $71.96, 0 of 13 active models suggest LOAR may be undervalued, while 13 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Loar Holdings Inc.'s business model in Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.5 mean for LOAR?

Loar Holdings Inc.'s QOC of 7.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on LOAR?

CirclFi analyzes LOAR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is LOAR a value trap in 2026?

Loar Holdings Inc.'s Value Trap score is 5/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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