What Is Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Ducommun Incorporated's intrinsic value is estimated at $69.24. Trading at its current price of $163.50, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 11 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -57.7%. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +4.8% (fair value: $171.40), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -94.2% ($9.50). The spread between these extremes — +99.0% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV, Markov DDM lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About DCO?
13 of 13 models are currently active for DCO. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates DCO's intrinsic value at $27.24, implying -83.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does DCO Rank in Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC?
Among 11 Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC stocks, DCO ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.6 indicates above-average quality.
Ducommun Incorporated operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is DCO a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns DCO a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Ducommun Incorporated. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Ducommun Incorporated earns a quality score of 7.6/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +99.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every DCO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across DCO's 13 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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