What Is Molina Healthcare Inc (MOH) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Molina Healthcare Inc's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite $248.57, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $242.88. While the average implied return is +2.3%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +182.9% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $546.18 (+124.9%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $102.03 (-58.0%). This +182.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Molina Healthcare Inc's intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About MOH?
12 of 13 models are currently active for MOH. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates MOH's intrinsic value at $265.90, implying +9.5% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does MOH Rank in Hospital & Medical Service Plans?
Among 9 Hospital & Medical Service Plans stocks, MOH ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.8 places MOH in the top tier.
Molina Healthcare Inc operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is MOH a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MOH a score of 25/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Molina Healthcare Inc. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Molina Healthcare Inc scores 8.8 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +182.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every MOH valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across MOH's 12 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →