What Is Five Point Holdings, LLC (FPH) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for Five Point Holdings, LLC. Trading at $5.12 against an estimated intrinsic value of $11.34, 11 of 13 active models flag meaningful upside of +121.5% on average. The most optimistic model, ML-RIV, places fair value at $28.12 (+449.3%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $1.10 (-78.4%). This +527.7% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Five Point Holdings, LLC's intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About FPH?
13 of 13 models are currently active for FPH. Of these, 11 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates FPH's intrinsic value at $10.36, implying +102.3% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does FPH Rank in Real Estate?
Among 32 Real Estate stocks, FPH ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.7 places FPH in the top tier.
See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Stocks →
Five Point Holdings, LLC's positioning within the Real Estate segment means that net asset value (NAV) premium/discount plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including demographic-driven demand — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is FPH a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FPH a score of 22/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Five Point Holdings, LLC. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Five Point Holdings, LLC scores 8.7 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +527.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every FPH valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across FPH's 13 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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