What Is FirstService Corporation (FSV) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, FirstService Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $67.42, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $143.28. With 12 out of 13 models flagging downside (-52.9% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $232.27 (+62.1%), versus Dynamic NAV at $7.98 (-94.4%). This +156.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About FSV?
13 of 13 models are currently active for FSV. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates FSV's intrinsic value at $12.09, implying -91.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does FSV Rank in Real Estate?
Among 32 Real Estate stocks, FSV ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.8 places FSV in the top tier.
See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Stocks →
As a real estate investment trust, FirstService Corporation operates in a sector where capitalization rate (cap rate) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating FSV should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is FSV a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FSV a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for FirstService Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, FirstService Corporation is rated at 8.8/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +156.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every FSV valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across FSV's 13 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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