Acme United Corporation (ACU) Fair Value 2026

ACU · Household & Personal Products ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (10/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Acme United Corporation (ACU) trades at $63.06, versus a $29.38 median fair value across its 12 active models — 53.4% below the current price. QOC: 8.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 10/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $8.93.

Key Facts

Ticker
ACU
Price
$63.06
Quality Score
8.3/10
Value Trap Risk
10/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.3/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Acme United Corporation (ACU) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Acme United Corporation (ACU) appears overvalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $29.38, 53.4% below the current price of $63.06. Estimates range from $8.93 to $54.27. ACU scores 8.3/10 on fundamental quality and 10/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. ACU’s -53.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Household & Personal Products sector median is -7.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Acme United Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ACU?

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($63.06)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $8.93 -85.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $18.37 -70.9%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $30.27 -52.0%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $49.91 -20.9%
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What Is ACU's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 12 independent models · $8.93 to $54.27

CirclFi's 12 active models place Acme United Corporation (ACU) between $8.93 and $54.27 per share, a spread of 154% of the median. The median of that range — $29.38 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ACU, against a current price of $63.06.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · Sentiment SOTP
$8.93median $29.38$54.27
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$8.93
Most bullish modelSentiment SOTP$54.27
Model agreement0 bullish · 12 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ACU. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ACU, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Acme United Corporation (ACU) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Acme United Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $29.38, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $63.06. With 12 out of 12 models flagging downside (-53.4% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, Sentiment SOTP sees the most upside at -13.9% (fair value: $54.27), while Bayesian DCF is the most conservative at -85.8% ($8.93). The spread between these extremes — +71.9% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About ACU?

12 of 13 models are currently active for ACU. All 12 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for ACU is $29.38 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $8.93 on its own, implying -85.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ACU Rank in Household & Personal Products?

Among 35 Household & Personal Products stocks, ACU ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.3 places ACU in the top tier.

Within the Household & Personal Products space, Acme United Corporation competes in an environment where same-store sales growth (comps) often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is ACU a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ACU a score of 10/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Acme United Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Acme United Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 8.3/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +71.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ACU valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ACU's 12 active models, average confidence is 57%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Acme United Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Household & Personal Products Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Household & Personal Products stocks with 13-model coverage

CHDChurch & Dwight Co., Inc.QOC 8.4ELFe.l.f. Beauty, Inc.QOC 8.1CLColgate-Palmolive CompanyQOC 8.4UGUnited-Guardian, Inc.QOC 8.1PGThe Procter & Gamble CompanyQOC 8.8KMBKimberly-Clark CorporationQOC 8.0KVUEKenvue Inc.QOC 7.6DQWSDSwiss, Inc.QOC 6.2SKVISkinvisible, Inc.QOC 4.4IPARInterparfums, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: CHD · ELF · CL · UG · PG · KMB · KVUE · DQWS · SKVI · IPAR

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ACU?

7 companies across all industries closest to ACU’s Quality of Company score of 8.3/10.

POSTPost Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.3ASICAtegrity Specialty Insurance CoQOC 8.3FLYWFlywire CorporationQOC 8.3FLOFlowers Foods, Inc.QOC 8.3PNTGThe Pennant Group, Inc.QOC 8.3CRCCalifornia Resources CorporationQOC 8.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: POST · ASIC · FLYW · FLO · PNTG · CRC · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Acme United Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Acme United Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Acme United Corporation (ACU)'s intrinsic value at $29.38 — the median of 12 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $8.93 to $54.27. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $8.93 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ACU overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $63.06, 0 of 12 active models suggest ACU may be undervalued, while 12 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $29.38, 53.4% below the current price of $63.06 — a consensus view that ACU is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Acme United Corporation's business model in Household & Personal Products.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.3 mean for ACU?

Acme United Corporation's QOC of 8.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ACU?

CirclFi analyzes ACU with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ACU?

Of the 12 models currently active on ACU, Sentiment SOTP is the most bullish at $54.27 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $8.93. CirclFi's published fair value for ACU is the median of that range, $29.38, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 154% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ACU a value trap in 2026?

Acme United Corporation's Value Trap score is 10/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Acme United Corporation (ACU) has a median fair value of $29.38 — 53.4% below the current price of $63.06 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ACU/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ACU valuation
  • Financial statements: Acme United Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000002098) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ACU as of ; valuations recomputed .

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