Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated (JLL) Fair Value 2026

JLL · Real Estate Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated (JLL) trades at $378.75, versus a $260.56 median fair value across its 10 active models — 31.2% below the current price. QOC: 8.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $312.41.

Key Facts

Ticker
JLL
Price
$378.75
Quality Score
8.3/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +60.7% upside with 60% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated (JLL) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated (JLL) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $260.56, 31.2% below the current price of $378.75. Estimates range from $154.32 to $608.63. JLL scores 8.3/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. JLL’s -31.2% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Real Estate Services sector median is -12.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give JLL?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($378.75)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $312.41 -17.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $154.32 -59.3%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $267.15 -29.5%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $608.63 +60.7%
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What Is JLL's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $154.32 to $608.63

CirclFi's 10 active models place Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated (JLL) between $154.32 and $608.63 per share, a spread of 174% of the median. The median of that range — $260.56 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for JLL, against a current price of $378.75.

Low · EPVHigh · First Chicago
$154.32median $260.56$608.63
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$154.32
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$608.63
Model agreement2 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for JLL. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on JLL, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated (JLL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated's intrinsic value is estimated at $260.56. Trading at its current price of $378.75, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 8 of 10 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -31.2%. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +60.7% (fair value: $608.63), while EPV is the most conservative at -59.3% ($154.32). The spread between these extremes — +119.9% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About JLL?

10 of 13 models are currently active for JLL. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for JLL is $260.56 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $312.41 on its own, implying -17.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does JLL Rank in Real Estate Services?

Among 51 Real Estate Services stocks, JLL ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.3 places JLL in the top tier.

Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated's positioning within the Real Estate Services segment means that net asset value (NAV) premium/discount plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including tenant credit quality — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is JLL a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns JLL a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated scores 8.3 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +119.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every JLL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across JLL's 10 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Real Estate Services stocks with 13-model coverage

FSVFirstService CorporationQOC 8.4CSGPCoStar Group, Inc.QOC 8.1IRSIRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad AnónimaQOC 8.4AOXYAdvanced Oxygen Technologies, Inc.QOC 7.8CHCIComstock Holding Companies, Inc.QOC 8.9RMAXRE/MAX Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.7BEKEKE Holdings Inc.QOC 7.1OPADOfferpad Solutions Inc.QOC 5.8LRHCLa Rosa Holdings Corp.QOC 4.6

Read investment analysis: FSV · CSGP · IRS · AOXY · CHCI · RMAX · BEKE · OPAD · LRHC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to JLL?

7 companies across all industries closest to JLL’s Quality of Company score of 8.3/10.

RBKBRhinebeck Bancorp, Inc.QOC 8.3BFAMBright Horizons Family Solutions Inc.QOC 8.3CHRDChord Energy CorporationQOC 8.3PNRGPrimeEnergy Resources CorporationQOC 8.3FULTFulton Financial CorporationQOC 8.3SAICScience Applications International CorporationQOC 8.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: RBKB · BFAM · CHRD · PNRG · FULT · SAIC · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated’s Valuation?

What is Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated (JLL)'s intrinsic value at $260.56 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $154.32 to $608.63. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $312.41 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is JLL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $378.75, 2 of 10 active models suggest JLL may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $260.56, 31.2% below the current price of $378.75 — a consensus view that JLL is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated's business model in Real Estate Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.3 mean for JLL?

Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated's QOC of 8.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on JLL?

CirclFi analyzes JLL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on JLL?

Of the 10 models currently active on JLL, First Chicago is the most bullish at $608.63 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $154.32. CirclFi's published fair value for JLL is the median of that range, $260.56, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 174% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is JLL a value trap in 2026?

Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated's Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated (JLL) has a median fair value of $260.56 — 31.2% below the current price of $378.75 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/JLL/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this JLL valuation
  • Financial statements: Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001037976) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for JLL as of ; valuations recomputed .

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