Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. (CHCI) Fair Value 2026

CHCI · Real Estate Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 6 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. (CHCI) trades at $19.87, versus a $16.64 median fair value across its 6 active models — 16.3% below the current price. QOC: 8.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 6/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CHCI
Price
$19.87
Quality Score
8.9/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
6/13
Last Updated
Strength: ML-RIV suggests +240.8% upside with 53% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. (CHCI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. (CHCI) appears overvalued as of : the median of 6 independent fair value estimates is $16.64, 16.3% below the current price of $19.87. Estimates range from $4.46 to $67.72. CHCI scores 8.9/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. CHCI’s -16.3% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Real Estate Services sector median is -12.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CHCI?

6 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($19.87)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $16.15 -18.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $67.72 +240.8%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $4.46 -77.6%
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What Is CHCI's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 6 independent models · $4.46 to $67.72

CirclFi's 6 active models place Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. (CHCI) between $4.46 and $67.72 per share, a spread of 380% of the median. The median of that range — $16.64 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CHCI, against a current price of $19.87.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · ML-RIV
$4.46median $16.64$67.72
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$4.46
Most bullish modelML Residual Income$67.72
Model agreement2 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CHCI. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CHCI, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. (CHCI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. at its current price of $19.87. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $16.64 (-16.3% vs price), with 4 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, ML-RIV, places fair value at $67.72 (+240.8%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $4.46 (-77.6%). This +318.4% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Comstock Holding Companies, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About CHCI?

6 of 13 models are currently active for CHCI. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CHCI is $16.64 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CHCI Rank in Real Estate Services?

Among 51 Real Estate Services stocks, CHCI ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.9 places CHCI in the top tier.

As a real estate sector, Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. operates in a sector where weighted average lease term (WALT) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating CHCI should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is CHCI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CHCI a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

6 of 13 models are active for Comstock Holding Companies, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Comstock Holding Companies, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.9/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +318.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CHCI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CHCI's 6 active models, average confidence is 36%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Real Estate Services stocks with 13-model coverage

CIGIColliers International Group Inc.QOC 2.1IRSIRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad AnónimaQOC 8.4PETZTDH Holdings, Inc.QOC 2.9FSVFirstService CorporationQOC 8.4GYROGyrodyne, LLCQOC 3.1JLLJones Lang LaSalle IncorporatedQOC 8.3AGNTAGNT, IncQOC 7.3OMHOhmyhome LimitedQOC 6.1AWCAAwaysis Capital, Inc.QOC 5.0

Read investment analysis: CIGI · IRS · PETZ · FSV · GYRO · JLL · AGNT · OMH · AWCA

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CHCI?

7 companies across all industries closest to CHCI’s Quality of Company score of 8.9/10.

WWDWoodward, Inc.QOC 8.9ROLRollins, Inc.QOC 8.9WINGWingstop Inc.QOC 8.9HEIHEICO CorporationQOC 8.9BRBroadridge Financial Solutions, Inc.QOC 8.9BCPCBalchem CorporationQOC 8.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: WWD · ROL · WING · HEI · BR · BCPC · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Comstock Holding Companies, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Comstock Holding Companies, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. (CHCI)'s intrinsic value at $16.64 — the median of 6 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $4.46 to $67.72. The Quality of Company score is 8.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CHCI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $19.87, 2 of 6 active models suggest CHCI may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 6 fair value estimates is $16.64, 16.3% below the current price of $19.87 — a consensus view that CHCI is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Comstock Holding Companies, Inc.'s business model in Real Estate Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.9 mean for CHCI?

Comstock Holding Companies, Inc.'s QOC of 8.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CHCI?

CirclFi analyzes CHCI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 6 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CHCI?

Of the 6 models currently active on CHCI, ML Residual Income is the most bullish at $67.72 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $4.46. CirclFi's published fair value for CHCI is the median of that range, $16.64, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 380% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CHCI a value trap in 2026?

Comstock Holding Companies, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. (CHCI) has a median fair value of $16.64 — 16.3% below the current price of $19.87 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CHCI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CHCI valuation
  • Financial statements: Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001299969) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CHCI as of ; valuations recomputed .

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