Getty Realty Corp. (GTY) Fair Value 2026

GTY · REIT - Retail ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Getty Realty Corp. (GTY) trades at $32.95, versus a $21.35 median fair value across its 9 active models — 35.2% below the current price. QOC: 7.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
GTY
Price
$32.95
Quality Score
7.5/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: 9 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Getty Realty Corp. (GTY) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Getty Realty Corp. (GTY) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $21.35, 35.2% below the current price of $32.95. Estimates range from $3.90 to $36.82. GTY scores 7.5/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. GTY’s -35.2% gap is wider than that market norm, and the REIT - Retail sector median is -45.6%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Getty Realty Corp. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give GTY?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($32.95)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $4.10 -87.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $17.96 -45.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $25.09 -23.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $16.89 -48.7%
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What Is GTY's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $3.90 to $36.82

CirclFi's 9 active models place Getty Realty Corp. (GTY) between $3.90 and $36.82 per share, a spread of 154% of the median. The median of that range — $21.35 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for GTY, against a current price of $32.95.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · FTNN
$3.90median $21.35$36.82
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$3.90
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$36.82
Model agreement1 bullish · 7 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for GTY. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on GTY, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Getty Realty Corp. (GTY) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Getty Realty Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $21.35. Trading at its current price of $32.95, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 7 of 9 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -35.2%. Notably, FTNN sees the most upside at +11.8% (fair value: $36.82), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -88.2% ($3.90). The spread between these extremes — +99.9% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About GTY?

9 of 13 models are currently active for GTY. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for GTY is $21.35 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GTY Rank in REIT - Retail?

Among 26 REIT - Retail stocks, GTY ranks #15 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.5 indicates above-average quality.

The REIT - Retail sector introduces analytical considerations specific to retail business businesses. For Getty Realty Corp., metrics like e-commerce penetration rate provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is GTY a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GTY a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Getty Realty Corp.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Getty Realty Corp. earns a quality score of 7.5/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +99.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GTY valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GTY's 9 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Getty Realty Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar REIT - Retail Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related REIT - Retail stocks with 13-model coverage

AKRAcadia Realty TrustQOC 7.6IVTInvenTrust Properties Corp.QOC 7.5SITCSITE Centers Corp.QOC 7.6NNNNNN REIT, Inc.QOC 7.4KRGKite Realty Group TrustQOC 7.7KIMKimco Realty CorporationQOC 7.4UEUrban Edge PropertiesQOC 7.2REGRegency Centers CorporationQOC 8.6BRXBrixmor Property Group Inc.QOC 7.9FRTFederal Realty Investment TrustQOC 8.9

Read investment analysis: AKR · IVT · SITC · NNN · KRG · KIM · UE · REG · BRX · FRT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to GTY?

7 companies across all industries closest to GTY’s Quality of Company score of 7.5/10.

MBUUMalibu Boats, Inc.QOC 7.5BDTXBlack Diamond Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 7.5ELPCCompanhia Paranaense de EnergiaQOC 7.5JAKKJAKKS Pacific, Inc.QOC 7.5AMRCAmeresco, Inc.QOC 7.5PFEPfizer Inc.QOC 7.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MBUU · BDTX · ELPC · JAKK · AMRC · PFE · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Getty Realty Corp.’s Valuation?

What is Getty Realty Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Getty Realty Corp. (GTY)'s intrinsic value at $21.35 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $3.90 to $36.82. The Quality of Company score is 7.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GTY overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $32.95, 2 of 9 active models suggest GTY may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $21.35, 35.2% below the current price of $32.95 — a consensus view that GTY is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Getty Realty Corp.'s business model in REIT - Retail.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.5 mean for GTY?

Getty Realty Corp.'s QOC of 7.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GTY?

CirclFi analyzes GTY with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on GTY?

Of the 9 models currently active on GTY, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $36.82 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $3.90. CirclFi's published fair value for GTY is the median of that range, $21.35, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 154% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is GTY a value trap in 2026?

Getty Realty Corp.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Getty Realty Corp. (GTY) has a median fair value of $21.35 — 35.2% below the current price of $32.95 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GTY/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this GTY valuation
  • Financial statements: Getty Realty Corp. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001052752) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for GTY as of ; valuations recomputed .

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