KE Holdings Inc (BEKE) Fair Value 2026

BEKE · Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others) ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, KE Holdings Inc (BEKE) trades at $16.05, approximately 9% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $17.60. QOC: 8.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BEKE
Price
$16.05
Quality Score
8.5/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +53.9% upside with 50% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (13/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($16.05)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$17.60 +9.7%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$1.41 -91.2%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$14.11 -12.1%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$24.69 +53.9%

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What Is KE Holdings Inc (BEKE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, KE Holdings Inc's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite $15.54, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $16.05. While the average implied return is -3.2%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +218.6% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, RCMH-DCF, places fair value at $36.50 (+127.4%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $1.41 (-91.2%). This +218.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about KE Holdings Inc's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About BEKE?

13 of 13 models are currently active for BEKE. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates BEKE's intrinsic value at $17.60, implying +9.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BEKE Rank in Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others)?

Among 18 Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others) stocks, BEKE ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.5 places BEKE in the top tier.

Within the Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others) space, KE Holdings Inc competes in an environment where funds from operations (FFO) often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is BEKE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BEKE a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for KE Holdings Inc. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, KE Holdings Inc is rated at 8.5/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +218.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BEKE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BEKE's 13 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy KE Holdings Inc Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others) Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others) stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: LHAI · JLL · REAX · MMI · RMAX

Frequently Asked Questions About KE Holdings Inc

What is KE Holdings Inc's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, KE Holdings Inc (BEKE) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $17.60. The Quality of Company score is 8.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BEKE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $16.05, 5 of 13 active models suggest BEKE may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits KE Holdings Inc's business model in Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others).

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.5 mean for BEKE?

KE Holdings Inc's QOC of 8.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BEKE?

CirclFi analyzes BEKE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is BEKE a value trap in 2026?

KE Holdings Inc's Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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