KE Holdings Inc. (BEKE) Fair Value 2026

BEKE · Real Estate Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (20/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, KE Holdings Inc. (BEKE) trades at $18.32, versus a $11.28 median fair value across its 11 active models — 38.4% below the current price. QOC: 7.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 20/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $12.71.

Key Facts

Ticker
BEKE
Price
$18.32
Quality Score
7.1/10
Value Trap Risk
20/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: 11 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is KE Holdings Inc. (BEKE) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, KE Holdings Inc. (BEKE) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $11.28, 38.4% below the current price of $18.32. Estimates range from $1.90 to $59.56. BEKE scores 7.1/10 on fundamental quality and 20/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. BEKE’s -38.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Real Estate Services sector median is -6.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy KE Holdings Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give BEKE?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($18.32)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $12.71 -30.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $3.86 -78.9%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $12.92 -29.5%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $11.28 -38.4%
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What Is BEKE's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $1.90 to $59.56

CirclFi's 11 active models place KE Holdings Inc. (BEKE) between $1.90 and $59.56 per share, a spread of 511% of the median. The median of that range — $11.28 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for BEKE, against a current price of $18.32.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · Markov DDM
$1.90median $11.28$59.56
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$1.90
Most bullish modelMarkov DDM$59.56
Model agreement1 bullish · 10 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for BEKE. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on BEKE, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is KE Holdings Inc. (BEKE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, KE Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $11.28, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $18.32. With 10 out of 11 models flagging downside (-38.4% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $59.56 (+225.1%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $1.90 (-89.6%). This +314.7% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about KE Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About BEKE?

11 of 13 models are currently active for BEKE. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for BEKE is $11.28 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $12.71 on its own, implying -30.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BEKE Rank in Real Estate Services?

Among 52 Real Estate Services stocks, BEKE ranks #17 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.1 indicates above-average quality.

Within the Real Estate Services space, KE Holdings Inc. competes in an environment where funds from operations (FFO) often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is BEKE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BEKE a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for KE Holdings Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, KE Holdings Inc. is rated at 7.1/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +314.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BEKE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BEKE's 11 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy KE Holdings Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Real Estate Services stocks with 13-model coverage

NMRKNewmark Group, Inc.QOC 7.2REAXReal REMAX Group Inc.QOC 6.8DOUGDouglas Elliman Inc.QOC 7.2MMIMarcus & Millichap, Inc.QOC 6.7AGNTAGNT, IncQOC 7.3OPENOpendoor Technologies Inc.QOC 6.6OPADOfferpad Solutions Inc. Class A Common StockQOC 5.8LRHCLa Rosa Holdings Corp.QOC 4.6JLLJones Lang LaSalle IncorporatedQOC 8.3CHCIComstock Holding Companies, Inc.QOC 8.9IRSIRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad AnónimaQOC 8.4

Read investment analysis: NMRK · REAX · DOUG · MMI · AGNT · OPEN · OPAD · LRHC · JLL · CHCI · IRS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to BEKE?

7 companies across all industries closest to BEKE’s Quality of Company score of 7.1/10.

CISSC3is Inc.QOC 7.1HPHelmerich & Payne, Inc.QOC 7.1TWITitan International, Inc.QOC 7.1EQPTEquipmentShare.com Inc.QOC 7.1IRTCiRhythm Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.1SAFESafehold Inc.QOC 7.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CISS · HP · TWI · EQPT · IRTC · SAFE · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About KE Holdings Inc.’s Valuation?

What is KE Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts KE Holdings Inc. (BEKE)'s intrinsic value at $11.28 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $1.90 to $59.56. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $12.71 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BEKE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $18.32, 1 of 11 active models suggest BEKE may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $11.28, 38.4% below the current price of $18.32 — a consensus view that BEKE is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits KE Holdings Inc.'s business model in Real Estate Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.1 mean for BEKE?

KE Holdings Inc.'s QOC of 7.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BEKE?

CirclFi analyzes BEKE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on BEKE?

Of the 11 models currently active on BEKE, Markov DDM is the most bullish at $59.56 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $1.90. CirclFi's published fair value for BEKE is the median of that range, $11.28, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 511% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is BEKE a value trap in 2026?

KE Holdings Inc.'s Value Trap score is 20/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, KE Holdings Inc. (BEKE) has a median fair value of $11.28 — 38.4% below the current price of $18.32 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/BEKE/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this BEKE valuation
  • Financial statements: KE Holdings Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001809587) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for BEKE as of ; valuations recomputed .

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