Newmark Group, Inc. (NMRK) Fair Value 2026

NMRK · Real Estate Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (42/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Newmark Group, Inc. (NMRK) trades at $15.54, versus a $13.11 median fair value across its 10 active models — 15.6% below the current price. QOC: 7.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 42/100 (WARN). 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
NMRK
Price
$15.54
Quality Score
7.2/10
Value Trap Risk
42/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +133.5% upside with 55% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 42 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Newmark Group, Inc. (NMRK) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Newmark Group, Inc. (NMRK) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $13.11, 15.6% below the current price of $15.54. Estimates range from $2.66 to $39.80. NMRK scores 7.2/10 on fundamental quality and 42/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. NMRK’s -15.6% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Real Estate Services sector median is -12.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Newmark Group, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give NMRK?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($15.54)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $6.88 -55.7%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $12.45 -19.9%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $36.29 +133.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $2.74 -82.4%
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What Is NMRK's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $2.66 to $39.80

CirclFi's 10 active models place Newmark Group, Inc. (NMRK) between $2.66 and $39.80 per share, a spread of 283% of the median. The median of that range — $13.11 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for NMRK, against a current price of $15.54.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Regime Cross
$2.66median $13.11$39.80
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$2.66
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$39.80
Model agreement2 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for NMRK. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on NMRK, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Newmark Group, Inc. (NMRK) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Newmark Group, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $13.11. Trading at $15.54, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -15.6%), as 6 of 10 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $39.80 (+156.1%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $2.66 (-82.9%). This +239.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Newmark Group, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About NMRK?

10 of 13 models are currently active for NMRK. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for NMRK is $13.11 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does NMRK Rank in Real Estate Services?

Among 51 Real Estate Services stocks, NMRK ranks #15 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.2 indicates above-average quality.

Newmark Group, Inc.'s positioning within the Real Estate Services segment means that capitalization rate (cap rate) plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including demographic-driven demand — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is NMRK a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NMRK a score of 42/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Newmark Group, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Newmark Group, Inc. earns a quality score of 7.2/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency. Our Value Trap detector shows moderate caution signals worth monitoring.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +239.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every NMRK valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across NMRK's 10 active models, average confidence is 46%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Newmark Group, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Real Estate Services stocks with 13-model coverage

DOUGDouglas Elliman Inc.QOC 7.2BEKEKE Holdings Inc.QOC 7.1AGNTAGNT, IncQOC 7.3REAXReal REMAX Group Inc.QOC 6.8RMRThe RMR Group Inc.QOC 7.3MMIMarcus & Millichap, Inc.QOC 6.7COMPCompass, Inc.QOC 5.9UKUcommune International LtdQOC 4.8IRSIRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad AnónimaQOC 8.4CHCIComstock Holding Companies, Inc.QOC 8.9

Read investment analysis: DOUG · BEKE · AGNT · REAX · RMR · MMI · COMP · UK · IRS · CHCI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to NMRK?

7 companies across all industries closest to NMRK’s Quality of Company score of 7.2/10.

ADPTAdaptive Biotechnologies CorporationQOC 7.2HYNEHoyne Bancorp, Inc.QOC 7.2LFSTLifeStance Health Group, Inc.QOC 7.2SVVSavers Value Village, Inc.QOC 7.2AFRMAffirm Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.2CECelanese CorporationQOC 7.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ADPT · HYNE · LFST · SVV · AFRM · CE · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Newmark Group, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Newmark Group, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Newmark Group, Inc. (NMRK)'s intrinsic value at $13.11 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $2.66 to $39.80. The Quality of Company score is 7.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is NMRK overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $15.54, 2 of 10 active models suggest NMRK may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $13.11, 15.6% below the current price of $15.54 — a consensus view that NMRK is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Newmark Group, Inc.'s business model in Real Estate Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.2 mean for NMRK?

Newmark Group, Inc.'s QOC of 7.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on NMRK?

CirclFi analyzes NMRK with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on NMRK?

Of the 10 models currently active on NMRK, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $39.80 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $2.66. CirclFi's published fair value for NMRK is the median of that range, $13.11, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 283% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is NMRK a value trap in 2026?

Newmark Group, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 42/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Newmark Group, Inc. (NMRK) has a median fair value of $13.11 — 15.6% below the current price of $15.54 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/NMRK/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this NMRK valuation
  • Financial statements: Newmark Group, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001690680) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for NMRK as of ; valuations recomputed .

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