What Is Moelis & Company (MC) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Moelis & Company's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $41.94. Trading at $63.62, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -34.1%), as 9 of 13 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, Bayesian DCF, places fair value at $108.48 (+70.5%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $4.83 (-92.4%). This +162.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Moelis & Company's intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About MC?
13 of 13 models are currently active for MC. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates MC's intrinsic value at $108.48, implying +70.5% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does MC Rank in Investment Advice?
Among 48 Investment Advice stocks, MC ranks #28 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.8 indicates above-average quality.
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Moelis & Company operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is MC a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MC a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Moelis & Company. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Moelis & Company scores 7.8 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +162.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every MC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across MC's 13 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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