Seritage Growth Properties (SRG) Fair Value 2026

SRG · Real Estate Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (34/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-31, Seritage Growth Properties (SRG) trades at $2.08, versus a $2.15 median fair value across its 2 active models — 3.5% above the current price. QOC: 5.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 34/100 (LOW). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SRG
Price
$2.08
Quality Score
5.3/10
Value Trap Risk
34/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: Dynamic NAV suggests +40.0% upside with 44% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (2/13) may reduce confidence

Is Seritage Growth Properties (SRG) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Seritage Growth Properties (SRG) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $2.15, within 3.5% of the current price of $2.08. Estimates range from $1.39 to $2.91. SRG scores 5.3/10 on fundamental quality and 34/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,804 rated companies as of 2026-08-31. SRG’s +3.5% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Real Estate Services sector median is -6.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Seritage Growth Properties Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SRG?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.08)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · Medium Conviction
 $2.91 +40.0%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $1.39 -33.0%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Seritage Growth Properties (SRG) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Seritage Growth Properties presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $2.08. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $2.15 (+3.5% median upside), masking a wide model spread between the 1 bullish models and 1 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: Dynamic NAV targets $2.91 (+40.0%), versus Regime Cross at $1.39 (-33.0%). This +73.0% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About SRG?

2 of 13 models are currently active for SRG. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for SRG is $2.15 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SRG Rank in Real Estate Services?

Among 52 Real Estate Services stocks, SRG ranks #37 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.3 reflects mixed fundamentals.

The Real Estate Services sector introduces analytical considerations specific to real estate investment trust businesses. For Seritage Growth Properties, metrics like same-property NOI growth provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is SRG a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SRG a score of 34/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Seritage Growth Properties. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Seritage Growth Properties earns a quality score of 5.3/10. This mixed rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +73.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SRG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SRG's 2 active models, average confidence is 30%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Seritage Growth Properties Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Real Estate Services stocks with 13-model coverage

NYCAmerican Strategic Investment Co.QOC 5.4STHOStar HoldingsQOC 5.2AIREreAlpha Tech Corp.QOC 5.4SEGSeaport Entertainment Group Inc.QOC 5.1ASPSAltisource Portfolio Solutions S.A.QOC 5.5AWCAAwaysis Capital, Inc.QOC 5.0GYROGyrodyne, LLCQOC 3.1IHSIHS Holding LimitedQOC 7.5GBRNew Concept Energy, Inc.QOC 6.4CHCIComstock Holding Companies, Inc.QOC 8.9IRSIRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad AnónimaQOC 8.4

Read investment analysis: NYC · STHO · AIRE · SEG · ASPS · AWCA · GYRO · IHS · GBR · CHCI · IRS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SRG?

7 companies across all industries closest to SRG’s Quality of Company score of 5.3/10.

PCPremium Catering (Holdings) LimitedQOC 5.3LFTLument Finance Trust, Inc.QOC 5.3MCRPMicropolis AI RoboticsQOC 5.3FEBOFenbo Holdings LimitedQOC 5.3FACFactorial Energy Inc.QOC 5.3GXAIGaxos.ai Inc.QOC 5.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: PC · LFT · MCRP · FEBO · FAC · GXAI · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Seritage Growth Properties’s Valuation?

What is Seritage Growth Properties's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Seritage Growth Properties (SRG)'s intrinsic value at $2.15 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-31, ranging from $1.39 to $2.91. The Quality of Company score is 5.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SRG overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.08, 1 of 2 active models suggest SRG may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $2.15, within 3.5% of the current price of $2.08 — a consensus view that SRG is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Seritage Growth Properties's business model in Real Estate Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.3 mean for SRG?

Seritage Growth Properties's QOC of 5.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SRG?

CirclFi analyzes SRG with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is SRG a value trap in 2026?

Seritage Growth Properties's Value Trap score is 34/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Seritage Growth Properties (SRG) has a median fair value of $2.15 — within 3.5% of the current price of $2.08 — as of 2026-08-31.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SRG/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SRG valuation
  • Financial statements: Seritage Growth Properties 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001628063) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for SRG as of ; valuations recomputed .