CBRE Group, Inc. (CBRE) Fair Value 2026

CBRE · Real Estate Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, CBRE Group, Inc. (CBRE) trades at $147.22, versus a $54.60 median fair value across its 7 active models — 62.9% below the current price. QOC: 7.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CBRE
Price
$147.22
Quality Score
7.6/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: 7 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is CBRE Group, Inc. (CBRE) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, CBRE Group, Inc. (CBRE) appears overvalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $54.60, 62.9% below the current price of $147.22. Estimates range from $23.59 to $191.36. CBRE scores 7.6/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. CBRE’s -62.9% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Real Estate Services sector median is -12.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy CBRE Group, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CBRE?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($147.22)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $23.59 -84.0%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $52.85 -64.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $41.02 -72.1%
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What Is CBRE's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $23.59 to $191.36

CirclFi's 7 active models place CBRE Group, Inc. (CBRE) between $23.59 and $191.36 per share, a spread of 307% of the median. The median of that range — $54.60 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CBRE, against a current price of $147.22.

Low · EPVHigh · Regime Cross
$23.59median $54.60$191.36
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$23.59
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$191.36
Model agreement1 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CBRE. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CBRE, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is CBRE Group, Inc. (CBRE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, CBRE Group, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $54.60. Trading at its current price of $147.22, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 6 of 7 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -62.9%. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $191.36 (+30.0%), versus EPV at $23.59 (-84.0%). This +114.0% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About CBRE?

7 of 13 models are currently active for CBRE. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CBRE is $54.60 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CBRE Rank in Real Estate Services?

Among 51 Real Estate Services stocks, CBRE ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.6 indicates above-average quality.

The Real Estate Services sector introduces analytical considerations specific to real estate investment trust businesses. For CBRE Group, Inc., metrics like funds from operations (FFO) provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is CBRE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CBRE a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for CBRE Group, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, CBRE Group, Inc. scores 7.6 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +114.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CBRE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CBRE's 7 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy CBRE Group, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Real Estate Services stocks with 13-model coverage

NENNew England Realty Associates Limited PartnershipQOC 7.7IHSIHS Holding LimitedQOC 7.5RMAXRE/MAX Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.7LHAILinkhome Holdings Inc.QOC 7.5AOXYAdvanced Oxygen Technologies, Inc.QOC 7.8RMRThe RMR Group Inc.QOC 7.3FRPHFRP Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.6AIREreAlpha Tech Corp.QOC 5.4RWAXTAP Real Estate Technologies, Inc.QOC 3.7CHCIComstock Holding Companies, Inc.QOC 8.9IRSIRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad AnónimaQOC 8.4

Read investment analysis: NEN · IHS · RMAX · LHAI · AOXY · RMR · FRPH · AIRE · RWAX · CHCI · IRS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CBRE?

7 companies across all industries closest to CBRE’s Quality of Company score of 7.6/10.

JDJD.com, Inc.QOC 7.6WMKWeis Markets, Inc.QOC 7.6CHRCheer Holding, Inc.QOC 7.6CSTMConstellium SEQOC 7.6JJacobs Solutions Inc.QOC 7.6ECOOkeanis Eco Tankers Corp.QOC 7.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: JD · WMK · CHR · CSTM · J · ECO · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About CBRE Group, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is CBRE Group, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts CBRE Group, Inc. (CBRE)'s intrinsic value at $54.60 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $23.59 to $191.36. The Quality of Company score is 7.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CBRE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $147.22, 1 of 7 active models suggest CBRE may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $54.60, 62.9% below the current price of $147.22 — a consensus view that CBRE is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits CBRE Group, Inc.'s business model in Real Estate Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.6 mean for CBRE?

CBRE Group, Inc.'s QOC of 7.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CBRE?

CirclFi analyzes CBRE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CBRE?

Of the 7 models currently active on CBRE, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $191.36 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $23.59. CirclFi's published fair value for CBRE is the median of that range, $54.60, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 307% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CBRE a value trap in 2026?

CBRE Group, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, CBRE Group, Inc. (CBRE) has a median fair value of $54.60 — 62.9% below the current price of $147.22 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CBRE/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CBRE valuation
  • Financial statements: CBRE Group, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001138118) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CBRE as of ; valuations recomputed .

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