CBRE Group Inc (CBRE) Fair Value 2026

CBRE · Real Estate ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (26/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, CBRE Group Inc (CBRE) trades at $138.02, approximately 34% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $102.71. QOC: 7.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 26/100 (LOW). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CBRE
Price
$138.02
Quality Score
7.6/10
Value Trap Risk
26/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +14.4% upside with 58% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($138.02)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$102.71 -25.6%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$33.83 -75.5%
CUCE Ensemble
Medium Conviction
$72.48 -47.5%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$157.89 +14.4%

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What Is CBRE Group Inc (CBRE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, CBRE Group Inc's intrinsic value is estimated at $81.13. Trading at its current price of $138.02, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -41.2%. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $157.89 (+14.4%), versus EROIC at $22.77 (-83.5%). This +97.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About CBRE?

12 of 13 models are currently active for CBRE. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CBRE's intrinsic value at $102.71, implying -25.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CBRE Rank in Real Estate?

Among 32 Real Estate stocks, CBRE ranks #11 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.6 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Stocks →

The Real Estate sector introduces analytical considerations specific to real estate investment trust businesses. For CBRE Group Inc, metrics like funds from operations (FFO) provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is CBRE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CBRE a score of 26/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for CBRE Group Inc. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, CBRE Group Inc scores 7.6 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +97.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CBRE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CBRE's 12 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy CBRE Group Inc Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Real Estate stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CHCI · FSV · FPH · VTMX · IIPR

See all Real Estate stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About CBRE Group Inc

What is CBRE Group Inc's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, CBRE Group Inc (CBRE) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $102.71. The Quality of Company score is 7.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CBRE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $138.02, 2 of 12 active models suggest CBRE may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits CBRE Group Inc's business model in Real Estate.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.6 mean for CBRE?

CBRE Group Inc's QOC of 7.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CBRE?

CirclFi analyzes CBRE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CBRE a value trap in 2026?

CBRE Group Inc's Value Trap score is 26/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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