Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI) Fair Value 2026

ACI · Grocery Stores ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (8/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI) trades at $12.53, versus a $25.44 median fair value across its 10 active models — 103.0% above the current price. QOC: 7.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 8/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ACI
Price
$12.53
Quality Score
7.5/10
Value Trap Risk
8/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +166.6% upside with 75% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Is Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI) appears undervalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $25.44, 103.0% above the current price of $12.53. Estimates range from $0.48 to $37.66. ACI scores 7.5/10 on fundamental quality and 8/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. ACI’s +103.0% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Albertsons Companies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ACI?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($12.53)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $33.40 +166.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $26.41 +110.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $3.09 -75.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $18.59 +48.4%
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What Is ACI's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $0.48 to $37.66

CirclFi's 10 active models place Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI) between $0.48 and $37.66 per share, a spread of 146% of the median. The median of that range — $25.44 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ACI, against a current price of $12.53.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · RCMH-DCF
$0.48median $25.44$37.66
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$0.48
Most bullish modelRCMH-DCF$37.66
Model agreement8 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ACI. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ACI, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Albertsons Companies, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $25.44. At a current market price of $12.53, 8 of 10 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +103.0%. Notably, RCMH-DCF sees the most upside at +200.6% (fair value: $37.66), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -96.2% ($0.48). The spread between these extremes — +296.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About ACI?

10 of 13 models are currently active for ACI. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for ACI is $25.44 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ACI Rank in Grocery Stores?

Among 12 Grocery Stores stocks, ACI ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.5 indicates above-average quality.

Albertsons Companies, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is ACI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ACI a score of 8/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Albertsons Companies, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Albertsons Companies, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.5/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +296.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ACI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ACI's 10 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Albertsons Companies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Grocery Stores Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Grocery Stores stocks with 13-model coverage

NGVCNatural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.QOC 8.6SFMSprouts Farmers Market, Inc.QOC 8.2WMKWeis Markets, Inc.QOC 7.6DDLDingdong (Cayman) LimitedQOC 7.6KRThe Kroger Co.QOC 7.6MSSMaison Solutions Inc.QOC 7.1GOGrocery Outlet Holding Corp.QOC 6.5DNUTKrispy Kreme, Inc.QOC 5.2VHUBVenHub Global, Inc.QOC 5.1YSWYYesway, Inc.QOC 4.9HCWCHealthy Choice Wellness Corp.QOC 4.7

Read investment analysis: NGVC · SFM · WMK · DDL · KR · MSS · GO · DNUT · VHUB · YSWY · HCWC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ACI?

7 companies across all industries closest to ACI’s Quality of Company score of 7.5/10.

TLKPerusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia TbkQOC 7.5HBBHamilton Beach Brands Holding CompanyQOC 7.5HMCHonda Motor Co., Ltd.QOC 7.5RHRHQOC 7.5SNYSanofiQOC 7.5MBBCMarathon Bancorp, Inc.QOC 7.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: TLK · HBB · HMC · RH · SNY · MBBC · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Albertsons Companies, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Albertsons Companies, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI)'s intrinsic value at $25.44 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $0.48 to $37.66. The Quality of Company score is 7.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ACI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $12.53, 8 of 10 active models suggest ACI may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $25.44, 103.0% above the current price of $12.53 — a consensus view that ACI is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Albertsons Companies, Inc.'s business model in Grocery Stores.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.5 mean for ACI?

Albertsons Companies, Inc.'s QOC of 7.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ACI?

CirclFi analyzes ACI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ACI?

Of the 10 models currently active on ACI, RCMH-DCF is the most bullish at $37.66 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $0.48. CirclFi's published fair value for ACI is the median of that range, $25.44, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 146% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ACI a value trap in 2026?

Albertsons Companies, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 8/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI) has a median fair value of $25.44 — 103.0% above the current price of $12.53 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ACI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ACI valuation
  • Financial statements: Albertsons Companies, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001646972) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ACI as of ; valuations recomputed .

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