RH (RH) Fair Value 2026

RH · Specialty Retail ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 6 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (25/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, RH (RH) trades at $149.49, versus a $143.60 median fair value across its 6 active models — 3.9% below the current price. QOC: 7.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 25/100 (LOW). 6/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
RH
Price
$149.49
Quality Score
7.5/10
Value Trap Risk
25/100
Models Active
6/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +136.4% upside with 61% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (6/13) may reduce confidence

Is RH (RH) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, RH (RH) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 6 independent fair value estimates is $143.60, within 3.9% of the current price of $149.49. Estimates range from $111.28 to $353.32. RH scores 7.5/10 on fundamental quality and 25/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. RH’s -3.9% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Specialty Retail sector median is -15.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy RH Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give RH?

6 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($149.49)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $152.54 +2.0%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $353.32 +136.4%
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $174.04 +16.4%
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What Is RH's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 6 independent models · $111.28 to $353.32

CirclFi's 6 active models place RH (RH) between $111.28 and $353.32 per share, a spread of 169% of the median. The median of that range — $143.60 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for RH, against a current price of $149.49.

Low · Sentiment SOTPHigh · First Chicago
$111.28median $143.60$353.32
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelSentiment SOTP$111.28
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$353.32
Model agreement2 bullish · 3 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for RH. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on RH, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is RH (RH) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, RH's intrinsic value is estimated at $143.60, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $149.49. With a median implied return of -3.9% across a split 2–3 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +161.9% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +136.4% (fair value: $353.32), while Sentiment SOTP is the most conservative at -25.6% ($111.28). The spread between these extremes — +161.9% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About RH?

6 of 13 models are currently active for RH. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for RH is $143.60 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does RH Rank in Specialty Retail?

Among 49 Specialty Retail stocks, RH ranks #18 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.5 indicates above-average quality.

The Specialty Retail sector introduces analytical considerations specific to retail business businesses. For RH, metrics like gross margin expansion provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is RH a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns RH a score of 25/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

6 of 13 models are active for RH. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, RH scores 7.5 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +161.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every RH valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across RH's 6 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy RH Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Retail Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Specialty Retail stocks with 13-model coverage

EYENational Vision Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.8ARKOArko Corp.QOC 7.5MUSAMurphy USA Inc.QOC 7.8GMEGameStop Corp.QOC 7.5SBHSally Beauty Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.0SVVSavers Value Village, Inc.QOC 7.2GRWGGrowGeneration Corp.QOC 6.2QVCGQVC Group Inc.QOC 4.9FIVEFive Below, Inc.QOC 8.6WSMWilliams-Sonoma, Inc.QOC 9.3ARHSArhaus, Inc.QOC 8.9

Read investment analysis: EYE · ARKO · MUSA · GME · SBH · SVV · GRWG · QVCG · FIVE · WSM · ARHS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to RH?

7 companies across all industries closest to RH’s Quality of Company score of 7.5/10.

HBBHamilton Beach Brands Holding CompanyQOC 7.5MBBCMarathon Bancorp, Inc.QOC 7.5ACIAlbertsons Companies, Inc.QOC 7.5BRKRBruker CorporationQOC 7.5TLKPerusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia TbkQOC 7.5PBIPitney Bowes Inc.QOC 7.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: HBB · MBBC · ACI · BRKR · TLK · PBI · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About RH’s Valuation?

What is RH's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts RH (RH)'s intrinsic value at $143.60 — the median of 6 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $111.28 to $353.32. The Quality of Company score is 7.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is RH overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $149.49, 3 of 6 active models suggest RH may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 6 fair value estimates is $143.60, within 3.9% of the current price of $149.49 — a consensus view that RH is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits RH's business model in Specialty Retail.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.5 mean for RH?

RH's QOC of 7.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on RH?

CirclFi analyzes RH with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 6 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on RH?

Of the 6 models currently active on RH, First Chicago is the most bullish at $353.32 per share, and Sentiment SOTP is the most bearish at $111.28. CirclFi's published fair value for RH is the median of that range, $143.60, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 169% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is RH a value trap in 2026?

RH's Value Trap score is 25/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, RH (RH) has a median fair value of $143.60 — within 3.9% of the current price of $149.49 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/RH/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this RH valuation
  • Financial statements: RH 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001528849) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for RH as of ; valuations recomputed .

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