What Is Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. at $9.91. With an estimated intrinsic value of $16.30 and 7 of 12 models pointing higher, the average implied return is +64.5%. The most optimistic model, Sentiment SOTP, places fair value at $52.52 (+430.0%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $0.41 (-95.9%). This +525.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About GO?
12 of 13 models are currently active for GO. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates GO's intrinsic value at $3.64, implying -63.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does GO Rank in Retail-Grocery Stores?
Among 11 Retail-Grocery Stores stocks, GO ranks #8 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.7 indicates above-average quality.
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s positioning within the Retail-Grocery Stores segment means that e-commerce penetration rate plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including omnichannel integration — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is GO a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for GO. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. earns a quality score of 6.7/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +525.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every GO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across GO's 12 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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