Ingles Markets, Incorporated (IMKTA) Fair Value 2026

IMKTA · Retail-Grocery Stores ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Ingles Markets, Incorporated (IMKTA) trades at $90.71, approximately 7% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $84.62. QOC: 9.1/10. 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
IMKTA
Price
$90.71
Quality Score
9.1/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +68.2% upside with 57% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (13/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($90.71)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$84.62 -6.7%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$124.99 +37.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Medium Conviction
$86.76 -4.4%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$152.61 +68.2%

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What Is Ingles Markets, Incorporated (IMKTA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Ingles Markets, Incorporated presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $90.71. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $85.03 (-6.3% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 5 bullish models and 6 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $152.61 (+68.2%), versus Markov DDM at $5.54 (-93.9%). This +162.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About IMKTA?

13 of 13 models are currently active for IMKTA. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates IMKTA's intrinsic value at $84.62, implying -6.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does IMKTA Rank in Retail-Grocery Stores?

Among 11 Retail-Grocery Stores stocks, IMKTA ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.1 places IMKTA in the top tier.

The Retail-Grocery Stores sector introduces analytical considerations specific to consumer-facing company businesses. For Ingles Markets, Incorporated, metrics like e-commerce penetration rate provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is IMKTA a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for IMKTA. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Ingles Markets, Incorporated. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Ingles Markets, Incorporated earns a quality score of 9.1/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +162.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every IMKTA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across IMKTA's 13 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Ingles Markets, Incorporated Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Retail-Grocery Stores Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Retail-Grocery Stores stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: NGVC · SFM · VLGEA · WMK · KR

Frequently Asked Questions About Ingles Markets, Incorporated

What is Ingles Markets, Incorporated's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Ingles Markets, Incorporated (IMKTA) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $84.62. The Quality of Company score is 9.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is IMKTA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $90.71, 5 of 13 active models suggest IMKTA may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Ingles Markets, Incorporated's business model in Retail-Grocery Stores.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.1 mean for IMKTA?

Ingles Markets, Incorporated's QOC of 9.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on IMKTA?

CirclFi analyzes IMKTA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is IMKTA a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for IMKTA at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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