Transcontinental Realty Investors, Inc. (TCI) Fair Value 2026

TCI · Real Estate Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 6 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (30/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Transcontinental Realty Investors, Inc. (TCI) trades at $36.14, versus a $43.25 median fair value across its 6 active models — 19.7% above the current price. QOC: 6.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 30/100 (LOW). 6/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
TCI
Price
$36.14
Quality Score
6.5/10
Value Trap Risk
30/100
Models Active
6/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +24.4% upside with 8% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (6/13) may reduce confidence

Is Transcontinental Realty Investors, Inc. (TCI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, Transcontinental Realty Investors, Inc. (TCI) appears undervalued as of : the median of 6 independent fair value estimates is $43.25, 19.7% above the current price of $36.14. Estimates range from $25.12 to $107.90. TCI scores 6.5/10 on fundamental quality and 30/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. TCI’s +19.7% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Real Estate Services sector median is -6.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Transcontinental Realty Investors, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give TCI?

6 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($36.14)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $44.95 +24.4%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $26.61 -26.4%
Asset-Based · Medium Conviction
 $41.55 +15.0%
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What Is TCI's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 6 independent models · $25.12 to $107.90

CirclFi's 6 active models place Transcontinental Realty Investors, Inc. (TCI) between $25.12 and $107.90 per share, a spread of 191% of the median. The median of that range — $43.25 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for TCI, against a current price of $36.14.

Low · Regime CrossHigh · PWERM
$25.12median $43.25$107.90
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$25.12
Most bullish modelPWERM$107.90
Model agreement4 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for TCI. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on TCI, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Transcontinental Realty Investors, Inc. (TCI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Transcontinental Realty Investors, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $43.25, suggesting a +19.7% median upside from the current price of $36.14. While 4 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 2 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $107.90 (+198.6%), versus Regime Cross at $25.12 (-30.5%). This +229.0% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About TCI?

6 of 13 models are currently active for TCI. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for TCI is $43.25 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TCI Rank in Real Estate Services?

Among 52 Real Estate Services stocks, TCI ranks #23 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.5 indicates above-average quality.

Transcontinental Realty Investors, Inc.'s positioning within the Real Estate Services segment means that debt-to-EBITDA plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including portfolio repositioning — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is TCI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TCI a score of 30/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

6 of 13 models are active for Transcontinental Realty Investors, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Transcontinental Realty Investors, Inc. scores 6.5 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +229.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TCI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TCI's 6 active models, average confidence is 29%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Transcontinental Realty Investors, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Real Estate Services stocks with 13-model coverage

FRPHFRP Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.6GBRNew Concept Energy, Inc.QOC 6.4MLPMaui Land & Pineapple Company, Inc.QOC 6.6ARLAmerican Realty Investors, Inc.QOC 6.4OPENOpendoor Technologies Inc.QOC 6.6MAYSJ.W. Mays, Inc.QOC 6.3NYCAmerican Strategic Investment Co.QOC 5.4HBNBHotel101 Global Holdings Corp.QOC 3.4CBRECBRE Group, Inc.QOC 7.6CHCIComstock Holding Companies, Inc.QOC 8.9IRSIRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad AnónimaQOC 8.4

Read investment analysis: FRPH · GBR · MLP · ARL · OPEN · MAYS · NYC · HBNB · CBRE · CHCI · IRS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to TCI?

7 companies across all industries closest to TCI’s Quality of Company score of 6.5/10.

IMCRImmunocore Holdings plcQOC 6.5RXSTRxSight, Inc.QOC 6.5RUMRUM Group Inc.QOC 6.5WRAPWrap Technologies, Inc.QOC 6.5CRSPCRISPR Therapeutics AGQOC 6.5SPCEVirgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: IMCR · RXST · RUM · WRAP · CRSP · SPCE · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Transcontinental Realty Investors, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Transcontinental Realty Investors, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Transcontinental Realty Investors, Inc. (TCI)'s intrinsic value at $43.25 — the median of 6 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $25.12 to $107.90. The Quality of Company score is 6.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TCI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $36.14, 4 of 6 active models suggest TCI may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 6 fair value estimates is $43.25, 19.7% above the current price of $36.14 — a consensus view that TCI is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Transcontinental Realty Investors, Inc.'s business model in Real Estate Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.5 mean for TCI?

Transcontinental Realty Investors, Inc.'s QOC of 6.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TCI?

CirclFi analyzes TCI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 6 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on TCI?

Of the 6 models currently active on TCI, PWERM is the most bullish at $107.90 per share, and Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bearish at $25.12. CirclFi's published fair value for TCI is the median of that range, $43.25, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 191% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is TCI a value trap in 2026?

Transcontinental Realty Investors, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 30/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, Transcontinental Realty Investors, Inc. (TCI) has a median fair value of $43.25 — 19.7% above the current price of $36.14 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TCI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this TCI valuation

Market data for TCI as of ; valuations recomputed .

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