National Storage Affiliates Tru (NSA) Fair Value 2026

NSA · Real Estate Investment Trusts ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (24/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, National Storage Affiliates Tru (NSA) trades at $45.06, approximately 4% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $43.12. QOC: 8.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 24/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
NSA
Price
$45.06
Quality Score
8.6/10
Value Trap Risk
24/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.6/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($45.06)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$43.12 -4.3%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$13.26 -70.6%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$40.49 -10.1%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$33.57 -25.5%

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What Is National Storage Affiliates Tru (NSA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, National Storage Affiliates Tru's intrinsic value is estimated at $22.34. Trading at its current price of $45.06, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 11 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -50.4%. Notably, Bayesian DCF sees the most upside at -4.3% (fair value: $43.12), while Sentiment SOTP is the most conservative at -93.2% ($3.06). The spread between these extremes — +88.9% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About NSA?

11 of 13 models are currently active for NSA. All 11 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates NSA's intrinsic value at $43.12, implying -4.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does NSA Rank in Real Estate Investment Trusts?

Among 183 Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks, NSA ranks #7 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.6 places NSA in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks →

The Real Estate Investment Trusts sector introduces analytical considerations specific to REIT businesses. For National Storage Affiliates Tru, metrics like debt-to-EBITDA provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is NSA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NSA a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for National Storage Affiliates Tru. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, National Storage Affiliates Tru earns a quality score of 8.6/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +88.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every NSA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across NSA's 11 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy National Storage Affiliates Tru Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks with 13-model coverage

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Frequently Asked Questions About National Storage Affiliates Tru

What is National Storage Affiliates Tru's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, National Storage Affiliates Tru (NSA) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $43.12. The Quality of Company score is 8.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is NSA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $45.06, 0 of 11 active models suggest NSA may be undervalued, while 11 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits National Storage Affiliates Tru's business model in Real Estate Investment Trusts.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.6 mean for NSA?

National Storage Affiliates Tru's QOC of 8.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on NSA?

CirclFi analyzes NSA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is NSA a value trap in 2026?

National Storage Affiliates Tru's Value Trap score is 24/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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