Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. (APLE) Fair Value 2026

APLE · REIT - Hotel & Motel ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. (APLE) trades at $16.37, approximately 48% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $11.04. QOC: 8.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
APLE
Price
$16.37
Quality Score
8.9/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +54.0% upside with 47% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($16.37)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $11.04 -32.6%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
 $1.56 -90.5%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $13.89 -15.1%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
 $25.20 +54.0%

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What Is Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. (APLE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $13.54. Trading at $16.37, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -17.3%), as 7 of 12 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $25.20 (+54.0%), versus EPV at $1.56 (-90.5%). This +144.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About APLE?

12 of 13 models are currently active for APLE. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates APLE's intrinsic value at $11.04, implying -32.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does APLE Rank in REIT - Hotel & Motel?

Among 2 REIT - Hotel & Motel stocks, APLE ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.9 places APLE in the top tier.

Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.'s positioning within the REIT - Hotel & Motel segment means that debt-to-EBITDA plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including development pipeline delivery — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is APLE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns APLE a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. earns a quality score of 8.9/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +144.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every APLE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across APLE's 12 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar REIT - Hotel & Motel Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

1 related REIT - Hotel & Motel stocks with 13-model coverage

AHTAshford Hospitality Trust IncQOC 4.2

Read investment analysis: AHT

Frequently Asked Questions About Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.

What is Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. (APLE) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $11.04. The Quality of Company score is 8.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is APLE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $16.37, 5 of 12 active models suggest APLE may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.'s business model in REIT - Hotel & Motel.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.9 mean for APLE?

Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.'s QOC of 8.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on APLE?

CirclFi analyzes APLE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is APLE a value trap in 2026?

Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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