Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. (APLE) Fair Value 2026

APLE · REIT - Hotel & Motel ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. (APLE) trades at $16.43, versus a $13.77 median fair value across its 8 active models — 16.2% below the current price. QOC: 8.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
APLE
Price
$16.43
Quality Score
8.2/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.2/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. (APLE) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. (APLE) appears overvalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $13.77, 16.2% below the current price of $16.43. Estimates range from $5.62 to $23.00. APLE scores 8.2/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. APLE’s -16.2% gap is narrower than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give APLE?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($16.43)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $12.46 -24.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $13.26 -19.3%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $6.63 -59.7%
Asset-Based · Medium Conviction
 $5.62 -65.8%
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What Is APLE's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $5.62 to $23.00

CirclFi's 8 active models place Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. (APLE) between $5.62 and $23.00 per share, a spread of 126% of the median. The median of that range — $13.77 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for APLE, against a current price of $16.43.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · FTNN
$5.62median $13.77$23.00
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$5.62
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$23.00
Model agreement1 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for APLE. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on APLE, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. (APLE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $13.77. Trading at its current price of $16.43, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 6 of 8 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -16.2%. Model dispersion is worth noting: FTNN targets $23.00 (+40.0%), versus Dynamic NAV at $5.62 (-65.8%). This +105.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About APLE?

8 of 13 models are currently active for APLE. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for APLE is $13.77 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does APLE Rank in REIT - Hotel & Motel?

Among 15 REIT - Hotel & Motel stocks, APLE ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.2 places APLE in the top tier.

Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.'s positioning within the REIT - Hotel & Motel segment means that debt-to-EBITDA plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including development pipeline delivery — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is APLE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns APLE a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. earns a quality score of 8.2/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +105.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every APLE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across APLE's 8 active models, average confidence is 37%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar REIT - Hotel & Motel Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related REIT - Hotel & Motel stocks with 13-model coverage

RHPRyman Hospitality Properties, Inc.QOC 8.2XHRXenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc.QOC 8.1HSTHost Hotels & Resorts, Inc.QOC 8.4DRHDiamondRock Hospitality CompanyQOC 7.9AHTAshford Hospitality Trust, Inc.QOC 5.4SHOSunstone Hotel Investors, Inc.QOC 7.8INNSummit Hotel Properties, Inc.QOC 6.5IHTInnSuites Hospitality TrustQOC 5.7

Read investment analysis: RHP · XHR · HST · DRH · AHT · SHO · INN · IHT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to APLE?

7 companies across all industries closest to APLE’s Quality of Company score of 8.2/10.

CCUCompañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A.QOC 8.2CRWDCrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.2WHGWestwood Holdings Group, Inc.QOC 8.2ARIApollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.QOC 8.2TRGPTarga Resources Corp.QOC 8.2SGUStar Group, L.P.QOC 8.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CCU · CRWD · WHG · ARI · TRGP · SGU · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. (APLE)'s intrinsic value at $13.77 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $5.62 to $23.00. The Quality of Company score is 8.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is APLE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $16.43, 1 of 8 active models suggest APLE may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $13.77, 16.2% below the current price of $16.43 — a consensus view that APLE is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.'s business model in REIT - Hotel & Motel.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.2 mean for APLE?

Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.'s QOC of 8.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on APLE?

CirclFi analyzes APLE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on APLE?

Of the 8 models currently active on APLE, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $23.00 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $5.62. CirclFi's published fair value for APLE is the median of that range, $13.77, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 126% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is APLE a value trap in 2026?

Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. (APLE) has a median fair value of $13.77 — 16.2% below the current price of $16.43 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/APLE/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this APLE valuation
  • Financial statements: Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001418121) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for APLE as of ; valuations recomputed .

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