Hyperion DeFi, Inc. (HYPD) Fair Value 2026

HYPD · Biotechnology ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (34/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Hyperion DeFi, Inc. (HYPD) trades at $3.26, versus a $5.87 median fair value across its 3 active models — 80.2% above the current price. QOC: 5.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 34/100 (LOW). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
HYPD
Price
$3.26
Quality Score
5.4/10
Value Trap Risk
34/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: FTNN Topology suggests +166.6% upside with 7% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (3/13) may reduce confidence

Is Hyperion DeFi, Inc. (HYPD) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Hyperion DeFi, Inc. (HYPD) appears undervalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $5.87, 80.2% above the current price of $3.26. Estimates range from $1.84 to $8.69. HYPD scores 5.4/10 on fundamental quality and 34/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. HYPD’s +80.2% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Biotechnology sector median is -64.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Hyperion DeFi, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give HYPD?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.26)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $1.84 -43.6%
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $5.87 +80.2%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $8.69 +166.6%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is HYPD's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $1.84 to $8.69

CirclFi's 3 active models place Hyperion DeFi, Inc. (HYPD) between $1.84 and $8.69 per share, a spread of 117% of the median. The median of that range — $5.87 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for HYPD, against a current price of $3.26.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · FTNN
$1.84median $5.87$8.69
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$1.84
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$8.69
Model agreement2 bullish · 1 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for HYPD. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on HYPD, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Hyperion DeFi, Inc. (HYPD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Hyperion DeFi, Inc. at $3.26. With an estimated intrinsic value of $5.87 and 2 of 3 models pointing higher, the median implied return is +80.2%. The most optimistic model, FTNN, places fair value at $8.69 (+166.6%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $1.84 (-43.6%). This +210.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Hyperion DeFi, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About HYPD?

3 of 13 models are currently active for HYPD. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for HYPD is $5.87 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does HYPD Rank in Biotechnology?

Among 625 Biotechnology stocks, HYPD ranks #235 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.4 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Biotechnology Stocks →

Within the Biotechnology space, Hyperion DeFi, Inc. competes in an environment where partnership revenue often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is HYPD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HYPD a score of 34/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for Hyperion DeFi, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Hyperion DeFi, Inc. is rated at 5.4/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +210.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every HYPD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across HYPD's 3 active models, average confidence is 35%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Hyperion DeFi, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Biotechnology Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Biotechnology stocks with 13-model coverage

DNLIDenali Therapeutics Inc.QOC 5.4NBPNovaBridge BiosciencesQOC 5.4IMMPImmutep LimitedQOC 5.4MANEVeradermics, IncorporatedQOC 5.4SGPSpyGlass Pharma, Inc.QOC 5.4SLXNSilexion Therapeutics CorpQOC 5.4NXTCNextCure, Inc.QOC 4.7NCNANuCana plcQOC 3.9NTRBNutriband Inc.QOC 6.6EXELExelixis, Inc.QOC 9.6INCYIncyte CorporationQOC 9.5

Read investment analysis: DNLI · NBP · IMMP · MANE · SGP · SLXN · NXTC · NCNA · NTRB · EXEL · INCY

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to HYPD?

4 companies across all industries closest to HYPD’s Quality of Company score of 5.4/10.

HDRNHadron Energy, Inc.QOC 5.4PLUGPlug Power Inc.QOC 5.4ANKMANKAM INC.QOC 5.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: HDRN · PLUG · ANKM · NVDA

Where Does HYPD Sit in CirclFi's Biotechnology Rankings?

HYPD is ranked against every other Biotechnology stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Biotechnology stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Hyperion DeFi, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Hyperion DeFi, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Hyperion DeFi, Inc. (HYPD)'s intrinsic value at $5.87 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $1.84 to $8.69. The Quality of Company score is 5.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is HYPD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.26, 2 of 3 active models suggest HYPD may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $5.87, 80.2% above the current price of $3.26 — a consensus view that HYPD is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Hyperion DeFi, Inc.'s business model in Biotechnology.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.4 mean for HYPD?

Hyperion DeFi, Inc.'s QOC of 5.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on HYPD?

CirclFi analyzes HYPD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on HYPD?

Of the 3 models currently active on HYPD, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $8.69 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $1.84. CirclFi's published fair value for HYPD is the median of that range, $5.87, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 117% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is HYPD a value trap in 2026?

Hyperion DeFi, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 34/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Hyperion DeFi, Inc. (HYPD) has a median fair value of $5.87 — 80.2% above the current price of $3.26 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/HYPD/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this HYPD valuation
  • Financial statements: Hyperion DeFi, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001682639) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for HYPD as of ; valuations recomputed .