Patriot National Bancorp Inc. (PNBK) Fair Value 2026

PNBK · National Commercial Banks ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Patriot National Bancorp Inc. (PNBK) trades at $1.14, approximately 51% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $2.34. QOC: 6.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
PNBK
Price
$1.14
Quality Score
6.0/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +105.6% upside with 56% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.14)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$2.34 +105.6%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$1.53 +34.0%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$1.43 +25.6%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$0.34 -69.7%

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What Is Patriot National Bancorp Inc. (PNBK) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Patriot National Bancorp Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $1.46, suggesting a +28.3% average upside from the current price of $1.14. While 8 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 2 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: RCMH-DCF targets $2.43 (+112.9%), versus First Chicago at $0.34 (-69.7%). This +182.6% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About PNBK?

11 of 13 models are currently active for PNBK. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates PNBK's intrinsic value at $2.34, implying +105.6% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PNBK Rank in National Commercial Banks?

Among 90 National Commercial Banks stocks, PNBK ranks #73 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.0 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued National Commercial Banks Stocks →

As a lending environment, Patriot National Bancorp Inc. operates in a sector where return on tangible equity is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating PNBK should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is PNBK a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PNBK a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Patriot National Bancorp Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Patriot National Bancorp Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.0/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +182.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PNBK valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PNBK's 11 active models, average confidence is 29%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Patriot National Bancorp Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar National Commercial Banks Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

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Frequently Asked Questions About Patriot National Bancorp Inc.

What is Patriot National Bancorp Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Patriot National Bancorp Inc. (PNBK) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $2.34. The Quality of Company score is 6.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PNBK overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.14, 8 of 11 active models suggest PNBK may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Patriot National Bancorp Inc.'s business model in National Commercial Banks.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.0 mean for PNBK?

Patriot National Bancorp Inc.'s QOC of 6.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PNBK?

CirclFi analyzes PNBK with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is PNBK a value trap in 2026?

Patriot National Bancorp Inc.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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