What Is Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S (AVAL) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S's intrinsic value is estimated at $4.32, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $4.97. With an average implied return of -13.1% across a split 2–4 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +172.0% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +100.8% (fair value: $9.98), while EPV is the most conservative at -71.2% ($1.43). The spread between these extremes — +172.0% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About AVAL?
8 of 13 models are currently active for AVAL. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates AVAL's intrinsic value at $1.48, implying -70.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does AVAL Rank in Commercial Banks, NEC?
Among 33 Commercial Banks, NEC stocks, AVAL ranks #30 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.0 signals below-average fundamentals.
See all Most Undervalued Commercial Banks, NEC Stocks →
Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S's positioning within the Commercial Banks, NEC segment means that cost-to-income ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including digital banking adoption — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is AVAL a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for AVAL. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
8 of 13 models are active for Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S earns a quality score of 2.0/10. This concerning rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +172.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every AVAL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across AVAL's 8 active models, average confidence is 9%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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