Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc (ESQ) Fair Value 2026

ESQ · Commercial Banks, NEC ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc (ESQ) trades at $118.71, approximately 52% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $247.59. QOC: 9.7/10. 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ESQ
Price
$118.71
Quality Score
9.7/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +108.6% upside with 56% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($118.71)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$247.59 +108.6%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$31.38 -73.6%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$121.15 +2.1%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$145.13 +22.3%

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What Is Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc (ESQ) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc at its current price of $118.71. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $125.63 (+5.8% average return), with 7 models flagging overvaluation risk. Model dispersion is worth noting: Bayesian DCF targets $247.59 (+108.6%), versus EPV at $31.38 (-73.6%). This +182.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About ESQ?

12 of 13 models are currently active for ESQ. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ESQ's intrinsic value at $247.59, implying +108.6% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ESQ Rank in Commercial Banks, NEC?

Among 33 Commercial Banks, NEC stocks, ESQ ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.7 places ESQ in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Commercial Banks, NEC Stocks →

Within the Commercial Banks, NEC space, Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc competes in an environment where non-performing loan ratio often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is ESQ a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for ESQ. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc's fundamental quality profile registers 9.7/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +182.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ESQ valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ESQ's 12 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Commercial Banks, NEC Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

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Frequently Asked Questions About Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc

What is Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc (ESQ) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $247.59. The Quality of Company score is 9.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ESQ overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $118.71, 5 of 12 active models suggest ESQ may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc's business model in Commercial Banks, NEC.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.7 mean for ESQ?

Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc's QOC of 9.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ESQ?

CirclFi analyzes ESQ with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ESQ a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for ESQ at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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