Grupo Supervielle S.A. (SUPV) Fair Value 2026

SUPV · Banks - Regional ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (13/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Grupo Supervielle S.A. (SUPV) trades at $8.40, versus a $9.74 median fair value across its 3 active models — 15.9% above the current price. QOC: 8.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 13/100 (SAFE). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SUPV
Price
$8.40
Quality Score
8.2/10
Value Trap Risk
13/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +124.1% upside with 21% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (3/13) may reduce confidence

Is Grupo Supervielle S.A. (SUPV) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Grupo Supervielle S.A. (SUPV) appears undervalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $9.74, 15.9% above the current price of $8.40. Estimates range from $8.52 to $18.82. SUPV scores 8.2/10 on fundamental quality and 13/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. SUPV’s +15.9% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Banks - Regional sector median is -22.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Grupo Supervielle S.A. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SUPV?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($8.40)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $9.74 +15.9%
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $18.82 +124.1%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $8.52 +1.4%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is SUPV's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $8.52 to $18.82

CirclFi's 3 active models place Grupo Supervielle S.A. (SUPV) between $8.52 and $18.82 per share, a spread of 106% of the median. The median of that range — $9.74 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for SUPV, against a current price of $8.40.

Low · FTNNHigh · Regime Cross
$8.52median $9.74$18.82
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelFTNN Topology$8.52
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$18.82
Model agreement2 bullish · 0 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for SUPV. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on SUPV, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Grupo Supervielle S.A. (SUPV) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Grupo Supervielle S.A.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $9.74. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $8.40 (implied upside of +15.9%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 2 of 3 bullish models. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +124.1% (fair value: $18.82), while FTNN is the most conservative at +1.4% ($8.52). The spread between these extremes — +122.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About SUPV?

3 of 13 models are currently active for SUPV. All 3 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for SUPV is $9.74 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SUPV Rank in Banks - Regional?

Among 349 Banks - Regional stocks, SUPV ranks #130 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.2 places SUPV in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Banks - Regional Stocks →

Grupo Supervielle S.A.'s positioning within the Banks - Regional segment means that cost-to-income ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including credit quality trends — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is SUPV a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SUPV a score of 13/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for Grupo Supervielle S.A.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Grupo Supervielle S.A. earns a quality score of 8.2/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +122.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SUPV valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SUPV's 3 active models, average confidence is 19%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Grupo Supervielle S.A. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Banks - Regional Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Banks - Regional stocks with 13-model coverage

HFWAHeritage Financial CorporationQOC 8.2TMPTompkins Financial CorporationQOC 8.2PKBKParke Bancorp, Inc.QOC 8.2WSBCWesBanco, Inc.QOC 8.2CPFCentral Pacific Financial Corp.QOC 8.2PRKPark National CorporationQOC 8.2QNBCQNB Corp.QOC 7.8WSBFWaterstone Financial, Inc.QOC 6.9HOMBHome BancShares, Inc.QOC 8.6ESQEsquire Financial Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.1PEBOPeoples Bancorp Inc.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: HFWA · TMP · PKBK · WSBC · CPF · PRK · QNBC · WSBF · HOMB · ESQ · PEBO

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SUPV?

7 companies across all industries closest to SUPV’s Quality of Company score of 8.2/10.

ELAEnvela CorporationQOC 8.2JBHTJ.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.QOC 8.2OXYOccidental Petroleum CorporationQOC 8.2LYVLive Nation Entertainment, Inc.QOC 8.2ATEXAnterix Inc.QOC 8.2BCSBarclays PLCQOC 8.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ELA · JBHT · OXY · LYV · ATEX · BCS · NVDA

Where Does SUPV Sit in CirclFi's Banks - Regional Rankings?

SUPV is ranked against every other Banks - Regional stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Banks - Regional stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Grupo Supervielle S.A.’s Valuation?

What is Grupo Supervielle S.A.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Grupo Supervielle S.A. (SUPV)'s intrinsic value at $9.74 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $8.52 to $18.82. The Quality of Company score is 8.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SUPV overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $8.40, 3 of 3 active models suggest SUPV may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $9.74, 15.9% above the current price of $8.40 — a consensus view that SUPV is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Grupo Supervielle S.A.'s business model in Banks - Regional.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.2 mean for SUPV?

Grupo Supervielle S.A.'s QOC of 8.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SUPV?

CirclFi analyzes SUPV with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on SUPV?

Of the 3 models currently active on SUPV, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $18.82 per share, and FTNN Topology is the most bearish at $8.52. CirclFi's published fair value for SUPV is the median of that range, $9.74, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 106% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is SUPV a value trap in 2026?

Grupo Supervielle S.A.'s Value Trap score is 13/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Grupo Supervielle S.A. (SUPV) has a median fair value of $9.74 — 15.9% above the current price of $8.40 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SUPV/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SUPV valuation
  • Financial statements: Grupo Supervielle S.A. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001517399) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for SUPV as of ; valuations recomputed .