reAlpha Tech Corp. (AIRE) Fair Value 2026

AIRE · Real Estate Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, reAlpha Tech Corp. (AIRE) trades at $1.53, approximately 126% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.68. QOC: 5.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AIRE
Price
$1.53
Quality Score
5.4/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +239.2% upside with 2% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is reAlpha Tech Corp. (AIRE) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, reAlpha Tech Corp. (AIRE) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $1.18, 22.7% below the current price of $1.53. Estimates range from $0.07 to $5.19. AIRE scores 5.4/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy reAlpha Tech Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.53)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.68 -55.7%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$5.19 +239.2%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$1.18 -22.7%
Dynamic NAV
Medium Conviction
$0.25 -83.8%

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What Is reAlpha Tech Corp. (AIRE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on reAlpha Tech Corp. at its current price of $1.53. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $1.69 (+10.5% average return), with 7 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, CUCE sees the most upside at +239.2% (fair value: $5.19), while Sentiment SOTP is the most conservative at -95.1% ($0.07). The spread between these extremes — +334.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About AIRE?

11 of 13 models are currently active for AIRE. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates AIRE's intrinsic value at $0.68, implying -55.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AIRE Rank in Real Estate Services?

Among 4 Real Estate Services stocks, AIRE ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.4 reflects mixed fundamentals.

As a REIT, reAlpha Tech Corp. operates in a sector where occupancy rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating AIRE should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is AIRE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AIRE a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for reAlpha Tech Corp.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, reAlpha Tech Corp.'s fundamental quality profile registers 5.4/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +334.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AIRE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AIRE's 11 active models, average confidence is 27%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy reAlpha Tech Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

3 related Real Estate Services stocks with 13-model coverage

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Frequently Asked Questions About reAlpha Tech Corp.

What is reAlpha Tech Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, reAlpha Tech Corp. (AIRE) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.68. The Quality of Company score is 5.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AIRE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.53, 4 of 11 active models suggest AIRE may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $1.18, 22.7% below the current price of $1.53 — a consensus view that AIRE is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits reAlpha Tech Corp.'s business model in Real Estate Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.4 mean for AIRE?

reAlpha Tech Corp.'s QOC of 5.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AIRE?

CirclFi analyzes AIRE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is AIRE a value trap in 2026?

reAlpha Tech Corp.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, reAlpha Tech Corp. (AIRE) has a median fair value of $1.18 — 22.7% below the current price of $1.53 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AIRE/ · Methodology

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