What Is Morgan Stanley (MS) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Morgan Stanley's intrinsic value is estimated at $170.18. Trading at its current price of $227.67, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 9 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -25.3%. Notably, ML-RIV sees the most upside at +114.8% (fair value: $488.98), while Bayesian DCF is the most conservative at -96.3% ($8.36). The spread between these extremes — +211.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About MS?
12 of 13 models are currently active for MS. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates MS's intrinsic value at $8.36, implying -96.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does MS Rank in Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies?
Among 33 Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies stocks, MS ranks #21 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.1 indicates above-average quality.
See all Most Undervalued Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies Stocks →
Morgan Stanley operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is MS a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MS a score of 38/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Morgan Stanley. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Morgan Stanley scores 7.1 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +211.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every MS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across MS's 12 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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