Siebert Financial Corp. (SIEB) Fair Value 2026

SIEB · Capital Markets ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (22/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Siebert Financial Corp. (SIEB) trades at $2.22, versus a $1.12 median fair value across its 5 active models — 49.3% below the current price. QOC: 8.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 22/100 (SAFE). 5/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SIEB
Price
$2.22
Quality Score
8.6/10
Value Trap Risk
22/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.6/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Siebert Financial Corp. (SIEB) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Siebert Financial Corp. (SIEB) appears overvalued as of : the median of 5 independent fair value estimates is $1.12, 49.3% below the current price of $2.22. Estimates range from $0.20 to $2.16. SIEB scores 8.6/10 on fundamental quality and 22/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. SIEB’s -49.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Capital Markets sector median is -30.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Siebert Financial Corp. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SIEB?

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.22)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $1.07 -51.7%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $1.12 -49.3%
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What Is SIEB's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 5 independent models · $0.20 to $2.16

CirclFi's 5 active models place Siebert Financial Corp. (SIEB) between $0.20 and $2.16 per share, a spread of 175% of the median. The median of that range — $1.12 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for SIEB, against a current price of $2.22.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Regime Cross
$0.20median $1.12$2.16
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$0.20
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$2.16
Model agreement0 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for SIEB. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on SIEB, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Siebert Financial Corp. (SIEB) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Siebert Financial Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $1.12, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $2.22. With 4 out of 5 models flagging downside (-49.3% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $2.16 (-2.6%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $0.20 (-91.1%). This +88.4% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Siebert Financial Corp.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About SIEB?

5 of 13 models are currently active for SIEB. All 5 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for SIEB is $1.12 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SIEB Rank in Capital Markets?

Among 103 Capital Markets stocks, SIEB ranks #10 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.6 places SIEB in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Capital Markets Stocks →

As a banking sector, Siebert Financial Corp. operates in a sector where cost-to-income ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating SIEB should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is SIEB a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SIEB a score of 22/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for Siebert Financial Corp.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Siebert Financial Corp.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.6/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +88.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SIEB valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SIEB's 5 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Siebert Financial Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Capital Markets Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Capital Markets stocks with 13-model coverage

EVREvercore Inc.QOC 8.6MKTXMarketAxess Holdings Inc.QOC 8.3HLIHoulihan Lokey, Inc.QOC 8.7PJTPJT Partners Inc.QOC 8.2IBKRInteractive Brokers Group, Inc.QOC 8.9GOLDGold.com, Inc.QOC 8.2CRCLCircle Internet GroupQOC 6.7CNCKCoincheck Group N.V.QOC 5.5BRBIBRBI BR Partners S.A.QOC 3.7FUTUFutu Holdings LimitedQOC 9.8HOODRobinhood Markets, Inc.QOC 9.7

Read investment analysis: EVR · MKTX · HLI · PJT · IBKR · GOLD · CRCL · CNCK · BRBI · FUTU · HOOD

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SIEB?

7 companies across all industries closest to SIEB’s Quality of Company score of 8.6/10.

FLXSFlexsteel Industries, Inc.QOC 8.6NVECNVE CorporationQOC 8.6LVSLas Vegas Sands Corp.QOC 8.6UANCVR Partners, LPQOC 8.6RDVTRed Violet, Inc.QOC 8.6FCBCFirst Community Bankshares, Inc.QOC 8.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: FLXS · NVEC · LVS · UAN · RDVT · FCBC · NVDA

Where Does SIEB Sit in CirclFi's Capital Markets Rankings?

SIEB is ranked against every other Capital Markets stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Capital Markets stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Siebert Financial Corp.’s Valuation?

What is Siebert Financial Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Siebert Financial Corp. (SIEB)'s intrinsic value at $1.12 — the median of 5 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $0.20 to $2.16. The Quality of Company score is 8.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SIEB overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.22, 0 of 5 active models suggest SIEB may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 5 fair value estimates is $1.12, 49.3% below the current price of $2.22 — a consensus view that SIEB is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Siebert Financial Corp.'s business model in Capital Markets.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.6 mean for SIEB?

Siebert Financial Corp.'s QOC of 8.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SIEB?

CirclFi analyzes SIEB with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on SIEB?

Of the 5 models currently active on SIEB, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $2.16 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $0.20. CirclFi's published fair value for SIEB is the median of that range, $1.12, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 175% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is SIEB a value trap in 2026?

Siebert Financial Corp.'s Value Trap score is 22/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Siebert Financial Corp. (SIEB) has a median fair value of $1.12 — 49.3% below the current price of $2.22 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SIEB/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SIEB valuation
  • Financial statements: Siebert Financial Corp. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000065596) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for SIEB as of ; valuations recomputed .

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