Siebert Financial Corp. (SIEB) Fair Value 2026

SIEB · Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (14/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Siebert Financial Corp. (SIEB) trades at $1.65, approximately 33% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $2.46. QOC: 9.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 14/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SIEB
Price
$1.65
Quality Score
9.7/10
Value Trap Risk
14/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +387.0% upside with 57% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.65)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $2.46 +48.8%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
 $1.33 -19.5%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $3.53 +113.9%
First Chicago
High Conviction
 $8.04 +387.0%

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What Is Siebert Financial Corp. (SIEB) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for Siebert Financial Corp.. Trading at $1.65 against an estimated intrinsic value of $3.91, 10 of 12 active models flag meaningful upside of +137.2% on average. The most optimistic model, ML-RIV, places fair value at $9.44 (+472.4%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $0.03 (-97.9%). This +570.3% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Siebert Financial Corp.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About SIEB?

12 of 13 models are currently active for SIEB. Of these, 10 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SIEB's intrinsic value at $2.46, implying +48.8% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SIEB Rank in Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies?

Among 33 Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies stocks, SIEB ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.7 places SIEB in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies Stocks →

Siebert Financial Corp. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is SIEB a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SIEB a score of 14/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Siebert Financial Corp.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Siebert Financial Corp.'s fundamental quality profile registers 9.7/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +570.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SIEB valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SIEB's 12 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Siebert Financial Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies stocks with 13-model coverage

FUTUFutu Holdings LimitedQOC 10.0BLKBlackRock, Inc.QOC 9.7IBKRInteractive Brokers Group, Inc.QOC 9.3MKTXMarketAxess Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.2SCHWCharles Schwab Corporation (TheQOC 9.0HOODRobinhood Markets, Inc.QOC 9.0RJFRaymond James Financial, Inc.QOC 9.0VIRTVirtu Financial, Inc.QOC 8.9

Read investment analysis: FUTU · BLK · IBKR · MKTX · SCHW

See all Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Siebert Financial Corp.

What is Siebert Financial Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Siebert Financial Corp. (SIEB) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $2.46. The Quality of Company score is 9.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SIEB overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.65, 10 of 12 active models suggest SIEB may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Siebert Financial Corp.'s business model in Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.7 mean for SIEB?

Siebert Financial Corp.'s QOC of 9.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SIEB?

CirclFi analyzes SIEB with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is SIEB a value trap in 2026?

Siebert Financial Corp.'s Value Trap score is 14/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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