Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. (TGS) Fair Value 2026

TGS · Oil & Gas Integrated ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. (TGS) trades at $28.55, versus a $15.95 median fair value across its 10 active models — 44.1% below the current price. QOC: 8.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $32.17.

Key Facts

Ticker
TGS
Price
$28.55
Quality Score
8.6/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Markov DDM suggests +52.8% upside with 34% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Is Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. (TGS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. (TGS) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $15.95, 44.1% below the current price of $28.55. Estimates range from $4.09 to $43.63. TGS scores 8.6/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. TGS’s -44.1% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas Integrated sector median is -18.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give TGS?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($28.55)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $32.17 +12.7%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $18.53 -35.1%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $13.37 -53.2%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $43.63 +52.8%
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What Is TGS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $4.09 to $43.63

CirclFi's 10 active models place Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. (TGS) between $4.09 and $43.63 per share, a spread of 248% of the median. The median of that range — $15.95 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for TGS, against a current price of $28.55.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · Markov DDM
$4.09median $15.95$43.63
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$4.09
Most bullish modelMarkov DDM$43.63
Model agreement2 bullish · 7 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for TGS. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on TGS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. (TGS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $15.95. Trading at $28.55, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -44.1%), as 7 of 10 models suggest limited further upside. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +52.8% (fair value: $43.63), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -85.7% ($4.09). The spread between these extremes — +138.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About TGS?

10 of 13 models are currently active for TGS. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for TGS is $15.95 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $32.17 on its own, implying +12.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TGS Rank in Oil & Gas Integrated?

Among 19 Oil & Gas Integrated stocks, TGS ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.6 places TGS in the top tier.

The Oil & Gas Integrated sector introduces analytical considerations specific to oil and gas company businesses. For Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A., metrics like debt-to-EBITDAX provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is TGS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TGS a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. earns a quality score of 8.6/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +138.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TGS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TGS's 10 active models, average confidence is 27%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Integrated Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Oil & Gas Integrated stocks with 13-model coverage

ECEcopetrol S.A.QOC 9.0CVECenovus Energy Inc.QOC 8.5PBRPetróleo Brasileiro S.A. - PetrobrasQOC 2.4NFGNational Fuel Gas CompanyQOC 8.4EQNREquinor ASAQOC 2.7XOMExxonMobil Holdings CorporationQOC 8.3SHELShell plcQOC 8.1SLNGStabilis Solutions, Inc.QOC 6.9IMOImperial Oil LimitedQOC 4.1

Read investment analysis: EC · CVE · PBR · NFG · EQNR · XOM · SHEL · SLNG · IMO

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to TGS?

7 companies across all industries closest to TGS’s Quality of Company score of 8.6/10.

FINVFinVolution GroupQOC 8.6NVECNVE CorporationQOC 8.6OTTROtter Tail CorporationQOC 8.6SIEBSiebert Financial Corp.QOC 8.6FLXSFlexsteel Industries, Inc.QOC 8.6BJBJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: FINV · NVEC · OTTR · SIEB · FLXS · BJ · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A.’s Valuation?

What is Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. (TGS)'s intrinsic value at $15.95 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $4.09 to $43.63. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $32.17 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TGS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $28.55, 2 of 10 active models suggest TGS may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $15.95, 44.1% below the current price of $28.55 — a consensus view that TGS is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A.'s business model in Oil & Gas Integrated.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.6 mean for TGS?

Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A.'s QOC of 8.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TGS?

CirclFi analyzes TGS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on TGS?

Of the 10 models currently active on TGS, Markov DDM is the most bullish at $43.63 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $4.09. CirclFi's published fair value for TGS is the median of that range, $15.95, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 248% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is TGS a value trap in 2026?

Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. (TGS) has a median fair value of $15.95 — 44.1% below the current price of $28.55 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TGS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this TGS valuation
  • Financial statements: Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000931427) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for TGS as of ; valuations recomputed .

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