Transportadora de Gas del Sur S (TGS) Fair Value 2026

TGS · Natural Gas Transmission ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Transportadora de Gas del Sur S (TGS) trades at $30.50, approximately 204% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $10.05. QOC: 8.9/10. 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
TGS
Price
$30.50
Quality Score
8.9/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +93.8% upside with 32% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($30.50)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Medium Conviction
$10.05 -67.1%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$5.14 -83.1%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$25.27 -17.2%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$59.12 +93.8%

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What Is Transportadora de Gas del Sur S (TGS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Transportadora de Gas del Sur S's intrinsic value is estimated at $32.97, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $30.51. With an average implied return of +8.1% across a split 5–7 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +330.7% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +244.9% (fair value: $105.21), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -85.8% ($4.33). The spread between these extremes — +330.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About TGS?

13 of 13 models are currently active for TGS. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates TGS's intrinsic value at $10.05, implying -67.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TGS Rank in Natural Gas Transmission?

Among 16 Natural Gas Transmission stocks, TGS ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.9 places TGS in the top tier.

The Natural Gas Transmission sector introduces analytical considerations specific to oil and gas company businesses. For Transportadora de Gas del Sur S, metrics like debt-to-EBITDAX provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is TGS a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for TGS. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Transportadora de Gas del Sur S. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Transportadora de Gas del Sur S earns a quality score of 8.9/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +330.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TGS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TGS's 13 active models, average confidence is 26%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Transportadora de Gas del Sur S Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Natural Gas Transmission Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Natural Gas Transmission stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: WES · TRGP · DTM · EPD · TRP

Frequently Asked Questions About Transportadora de Gas del Sur S

What is Transportadora de Gas del Sur S's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Transportadora de Gas del Sur S (TGS) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $10.05. The Quality of Company score is 8.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TGS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $30.50, 5 of 13 active models suggest TGS may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Transportadora de Gas del Sur S's business model in Natural Gas Transmission.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.9 mean for TGS?

Transportadora de Gas del Sur S's QOC of 8.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TGS?

CirclFi analyzes TGS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is TGS a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for TGS at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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