Equity Research Capital Markets

Should You Buy Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. Stock in 2026?

By CirclFi Research Team · · Updated · 5/13 models active

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) scores a robust 9.0/10 on our 32-signal Quality of Company framework. At the current market price of $88.80 and a $151.3B market cap, our analysis maps this fundamental strength against 13 institutional-grade models to determine if a sufficient margin of safety exists.

The short answer: 0 of 5 CirclFi valuation models project upside for Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) at $88.80 — the model consensus leans bearish, with a Quality Score of 9.0/10 and Value-Trap risk of 0/100. The full bull case, bear case, and risk factors are below. Educational analysis, not financial advice.

Key Takeaways

  • 5 of 5 models suggest overvaluation — majority bearish
  • Quality Score: 9.0/10 — Excellent — top-tier fundamentals
  • Value Trap Risk: 0/100 — Minimal — healthy fundamentals
  • Fair Value Range: $3.39 – $62.76 (1753% spread)

Bullish Models

0 / 5

Bearish Models

5 / 5

Quality Score

9.0 /10

Excellent — top-tier fundamentals

Value Trap Risk

0 /100
Minimal

Minimal — healthy fundamentals

Model Consensus

5 /13
Active Models

Avg. confidence: 38%

What Is the Investment Case for Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) in 2026?

What Is the Bull Case vs the Bear Case for Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR)?

Bull case versus bear case for Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) at $88.80, derived from 5 active CirclFi valuation models on 2026-09-15.
Bull case Bear case — $3.39 target (-96.2%)
No active model projects meaningful upside for IBKR at $88.80. Bulls would have to argue that qualitative factors the models cannot measure will unlock value. According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the Earnings Power Value (EPV) model sees the stock as overvalued with a fair value of $3.39 (-96.2%), suggesting that the market price embeds overly optimistic growth assumptions.
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the wide model spread of +66.9% reflects fundamental divergence on key assumptions (growth, cost of capital) depending on the methodology.
Industry headwind: commercial real estate exposure represents a meaningful risk for Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. and its Capital Markets peers.

How Does IBKR Compare to Its Capital Markets Peers?

SCHW The Charles Schwab C
9.0
HLI Houlihan Lokey, Inc.
8.7
PIPR Piper Sandler Compan
9.1
EVR Evercore Inc.
8.6
XP XP Inc.
9.1
SIEB Siebert Financial Co
8.6
MIAX Miami International
6.9
WULF TeraWulf Inc.
5.6

Valuation data pages: SCHW · HLI · PIPR · EVR · XP · SIEB · MIAX · WULF · NCPL · FUTU · HOOD

See full Capital Markets rankings →

Which Other Stocks Score Like IBKR on Quality?

Closest companies to IBKR’s Quality of Company score of 9.0/10, across all industries.

Why Do CirclFi’s 5 Models Disagree on IBKR?

Spread

1753%

Fair Value Range

$3.39 – $62.76

A 1753% spread signals high uncertainty. The investment outcome depends heavily on which scenario plays out.

Most Bullish

Regime Cross

$62.76 (-29.3%)

Most Bearish

EPV

$3.39 (-96.2%)

What Are the Biggest Risks of Buying IBKR Stock?

Model Disagreement

1753% spread signals high variance in projections.

Bearish Consensus

5/5 models suggest overvaluation.

Macro/Sector Risk

Capital Markets headwinds could affect earnings trajectory.

Model Limitations

Backward-looking models cannot predict disruptions.

Want the full 13-model breakdown?

See every fair value, confidence score, and value trap analysis.

View IBKR Data Page →

So Is Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) Worth Buying in 2026?

Our valuation engine sends a clear cautionary signal on Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. at $88.80. 5/5 models flag overvaluation, median fair value sits at $16.20 (-81.8%), and the risk-reward profile appears unfavorable. Quality at 9.0/10 is the one bright spot, but premium quality at the wrong price can still destroy returns. This is a stock where patience — or avoidance — may be the optimal strategy.

These are quantitative model outputs, not investment recommendations. Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.'s future depends on factors — management execution, competitive dynamics, regulatory changes — that no algorithm can fully capture. See all 13 model estimates →

What Else Do Investors Ask About IBKR Stock?

Should I buy IBKR stock right now?

Based on CirclFi's multi-model analysis, 0 of 5 models see upside for IBKR at $88.80. No active models currently project upside, suggesting the market price may already reflect or exceed fair value. This is not a buy recommendation — see our full disclaimer.

What are the biggest risks of investing in Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.?

Key risks include: limited model coverage (5/13 active), reducing analytical confidence; wide model disagreement (1753% spread), signaling high uncertainty; general market and sector-specific risks affecting Capital Markets companies. Always diversify and consult a financial advisor.

How does IBKR compare to its competitors?

Among Capital Markets peers, IBKR holds a Quality Score of 9.0/10. Comparable companies include SCHW (QOC 9.0), HLI (QOC 8.7), PIPR (QOC 9.1). The relative ranking helps investors identify whether IBKR offers better fundamental quality than alternatives in the same sector.

Is IBKR a good long-term investment?

Long-term investment potential depends on fundamental quality and sustainable competitive advantages. IBKR's Quality Score of 9.0/10 is encouraging for long-term holders, indicating consistent profitability, manageable debt, and healthy cash flows. Check our full data page for all 13 model estimates.

What price should I buy IBKR at?

CirclFi does not provide target buy prices or price alerts. However, our 5 active models produce fair value estimates ranging from $3.39 to $62.76. At $88.80, the stock trades above all model estimates. Many value investors look for a 20-30% margin of safety below intrinsic value before buying.

Want the complete picture?

See all 13 model estimates, confidence scores, and the full valuation table for IBKR.

View IBKR Data Page Full Terminal — $39/mo

Disclaimer: This article is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models and is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice, a buy/sell recommendation, or a solicitation to trade securities. Past performance is not indicative of future results. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR, FRED, and GDELT. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. Full disclaimer →