CRH plc (CRH) Fair Value 2026

CRH · Building Materials ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, CRH plc (CRH) trades at $95.86, versus a $48.38 median fair value across its 11 active models — 49.5% below the current price. QOC: 9.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $46.54.

Key Facts

Ticker
CRH
Price
$95.86
Quality Score
9.0/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 9.0/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is CRH plc (CRH) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, CRH plc (CRH) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $48.38, 49.5% below the current price of $95.86. Estimates range from $31.88 to $201.85. CRH scores 9.0/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. CRH’s -49.5% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Building Materials sector median is -37.6%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy CRH plc Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CRH?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($95.86)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $46.54 -51.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $31.88 -66.7%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $53.09 -44.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $37.87 -60.5%
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What Is CRH's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $31.88 to $201.85

CirclFi's 11 active models place CRH plc (CRH) between $31.88 and $201.85 per share, a spread of 351% of the median. The median of that range — $48.38 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CRH, against a current price of $95.86.

Low · EPVHigh · Regime Cross
$31.88median $48.38$201.85
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$31.88
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$201.85
Model agreement2 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CRH. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CRH, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is CRH plc (CRH) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on CRH plc at its current price of $95.86. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $48.38 (-49.5% vs price), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $201.85 (+110.6%), versus EPV at $31.88 (-66.7%). This +177.3% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About CRH?

11 of 13 models are currently active for CRH. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CRH is $48.38 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $46.54 on its own, implying -51.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CRH Rank in Building Materials?

Among 19 Building Materials stocks, CRH ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.0 places CRH in the top tier.

As a industrial enterprise, CRH plc operates in a sector where order backlog depth is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating CRH should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is CRH a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CRH a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for CRH plc. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, CRH plc is rated at 9.0/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +177.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CRH valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CRH's 11 active models, average confidence is 57%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy CRH plc Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Building Materials Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Building Materials stocks with 13-model coverage

TGLSTecnoglass Holdings Inc.QOC 9.1CPACCementos Pacasmayo S.A.A.QOC 8.9USLMUnited States Lime & Minerals, Inc.QOC 9.7SMIDSmith-Midland CorporationQOC 8.8RETOReTo Eco-Solutions, Inc.QOC 2.4VMCVulcan Materials CompanyQOC 8.6MLMMartin Marietta Materials, Inc.QOC 8.4KNFKnife River CorporationQOC 7.1TTAMTitan America SAQOC 2.5

Read investment analysis: TGLS · CPAC · USLM · SMID · RETO · VMC · MLM · KNF · TTAM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CRH?

7 companies across all industries closest to CRH’s Quality of Company score of 9.0/10.

JKHYJack Henry & Associates, Inc.QOC 9.0GTESGates Industrial Corporation Ltd.QOC 9.0GGenpact LimitedQOC 9.0GASSStealthGas Inc.QOC 9.0IBKRInteractive Brokers Group, Inc.QOC 9.0CGENCompugen Ltd.QOC 9.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: JKHY · GTES · G · GASS · IBKR · CGEN · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About CRH plc’s Valuation?

What is CRH plc's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts CRH plc (CRH)'s intrinsic value at $48.38 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $31.88 to $201.85. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $46.54 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CRH overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $95.86, 2 of 11 active models suggest CRH may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $48.38, 49.5% below the current price of $95.86 — a consensus view that CRH is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits CRH plc's business model in Building Materials.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.0 mean for CRH?

CRH plc's QOC of 9.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CRH?

CirclFi analyzes CRH with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CRH?

Of the 11 models currently active on CRH, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $201.85 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $31.88. CirclFi's published fair value for CRH is the median of that range, $48.38, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 351% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CRH a value trap in 2026?

CRH plc's Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, CRH plc (CRH) has a median fair value of $48.38 — 49.5% below the current price of $95.86 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CRH/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CRH valuation
  • Financial statements: CRH plc 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000849395) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CRH as of ; valuations recomputed .

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