Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. (CPAC) Fair Value 2026

CPAC · Building Materials ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. (CPAC) trades at $12.36, versus a $11.10 median fair value across its 12 active models — 10.2% below the current price. QOC: 8.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $10.78.

Key Facts

Ticker
CPAC
Price
$12.36
Quality Score
8.9/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +169.4% upside with 36% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. (CPAC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. (CPAC) appears overvalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $11.10, 10.2% below the current price of $12.36. Estimates range from $0.66 to $33.30. CPAC scores 8.9/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. CPAC’s -10.2% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Building Materials sector median is -37.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CPAC?

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($12.36)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $10.78 -12.8%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $10.57 -14.5%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $11.42 -7.6%
Scenario · Medium Conviction
 $33.30 +169.4%
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What Is CPAC's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 12 independent models · $0.66 to $33.30

CirclFi's 12 active models place Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. (CPAC) between $0.66 and $33.30 per share, a spread of 294% of the median. The median of that range — $11.10 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CPAC, against a current price of $12.36.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · First Chicago
$0.66median $11.10$33.30
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$0.66
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$33.30
Model agreement5 bullish · 7 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CPAC. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CPAC, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. (CPAC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. at its current price of $12.36. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $11.10 (-10.2% vs price), with 7 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $33.30 (+169.4%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $0.66 (-94.6%). This +264.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About CPAC?

12 of 13 models are currently active for CPAC. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CPAC is $11.10 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $10.78 on its own, implying -12.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CPAC Rank in Building Materials?

Among 19 Building Materials stocks, CPAC ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.9 places CPAC in the top tier.

As a industrial sector, Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. operates in a sector where aftermarket revenue mix is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating CPAC should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is CPAC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CPAC a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.9/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +264.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CPAC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CPAC's 12 active models, average confidence is 31%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Building Materials Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Building Materials stocks with 13-model coverage

CRHCRH plcQOC 9.0SMIDSmith-Midland CorporationQOC 8.8TGLSTecnoglass Holdings Inc.QOC 9.1VMCVulcan Materials CompanyQOC 8.6USLMUnited States Lime & Minerals, Inc.QOC 9.7MLMMartin Marietta Materials, Inc.QOC 8.4LOMALoma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad AnónimaQOC 8.0PHCIPanamera Holdings CorporationQOC 5.1CXCEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V.QOC 2.5

Read investment analysis: CRH · SMID · TGLS · VMC · USLM · MLM · LOMA · PHCI · CX

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CPAC?

7 companies across all industries closest to CPAC’s Quality of Company score of 8.9/10.

CNMCore & Main, Inc.QOC 8.9BSXBoston Scientific CorporationQOC 8.9MGYMagnolia Oil & Gas CorporationQOC 8.9KEYSKeysight Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.9TDYTeledyne Technologies IncorporatedQOC 8.9ACLSAxcelis Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CNM · BSX · MGY · KEYS · TDY · ACLS · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A.’s Valuation?

What is Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. (CPAC)'s intrinsic value at $11.10 — the median of 12 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.66 to $33.30. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $10.78 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CPAC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $12.36, 5 of 12 active models suggest CPAC may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $11.10, 10.2% below the current price of $12.36 — a consensus view that CPAC is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A.'s business model in Building Materials.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.9 mean for CPAC?

Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A.'s QOC of 8.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CPAC?

CirclFi analyzes CPAC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CPAC?

Of the 12 models currently active on CPAC, First Chicago is the most bullish at $33.30 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $0.66. CirclFi's published fair value for CPAC is the median of that range, $11.10, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 294% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CPAC a value trap in 2026?

Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. (CPAC) has a median fair value of $11.10 — 10.2% below the current price of $12.36 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CPAC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CPAC valuation
  • Financial statements: Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001221029) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CPAC as of ; valuations recomputed .

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