United States Lime & Minerals, (USLM) Fair Value 2026

USLM · Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

10.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, United States Lime & Minerals, (USLM) trades at $103.33, approximately 116% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $47.87. QOC: 10.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
USLM
Price
$103.33
Quality Score
10.0/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +26.7% upside with 55% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($103.33)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$47.87 -53.7%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$31.37 -69.6%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$63.58 -38.5%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$130.92 +26.7%

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What Is United States Lime & Minerals, (USLM) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, United States Lime & Minerals, 's intrinsic value is estimated at $68.59, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $103.33. With 10 out of 13 models flagging downside (-33.6% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $130.92 (+26.7%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $3.50 (-96.6%). This +123.3% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about United States Lime & Minerals, 's intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About USLM?

13 of 13 models are currently active for USLM. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates USLM's intrinsic value at $47.87, implying -53.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does USLM Rank in Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)?

Among 22 Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) stocks, USLM ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 10.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 10.0 places USLM in the top tier.

As a industrial sector, United States Lime & Minerals, operates in a sector where organic revenue growth is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating USLM should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is USLM a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns USLM a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for United States Lime & Minerals, . Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, United States Lime & Minerals, 's fundamental quality profile registers 10.0/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +123.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every USLM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across USLM's 13 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy United States Lime & Minerals, Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: VMC · HL · MLM · LEU · KNF

Frequently Asked Questions About United States Lime & Minerals,

What is United States Lime & Minerals, 's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, United States Lime & Minerals, (USLM) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $47.87. The Quality of Company score is 10.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is USLM overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $103.33, 3 of 13 active models suggest USLM may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits United States Lime & Minerals, 's business model in Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels).

What does a Quality of Company score of 10.0 mean for USLM?

United States Lime & Minerals, 's QOC of 10.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on USLM?

CirclFi analyzes USLM with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is USLM a value trap in 2026?

United States Lime & Minerals, 's Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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