United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (USLM) Fair Value 2026

USLM · Building Materials ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (USLM) trades at $119.66, versus a $75.24 median fair value across its 11 active models — 37.1% below the current price. QOC: 9.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $108.57.

Key Facts

Ticker
USLM
Price
$119.66
Quality Score
9.7/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 9.7/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (USLM) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (USLM) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $75.24, 37.1% below the current price of $119.66. Estimates range from $5.53 to $140.89. USLM scores 9.7/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. USLM’s -37.1% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Building Materials sector median is -37.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give USLM?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($119.66)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $108.57 -9.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $52.71 -56.0%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $74.37 -37.8%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $111.22 -7.1%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 7 additional models including EROIC Spread, Markov DDM, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 11 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is USLM's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $5.53 to $140.89

CirclFi's 11 active models place United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (USLM) between $5.53 and $140.89 per share, a spread of 180% of the median. The median of that range — $75.24 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for USLM, against a current price of $119.66.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · Regime Cross
$5.53median $75.24$140.89
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$5.53
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$140.89
Model agreement1 bullish · 10 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for USLM. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on USLM, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (USLM) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, United States Lime & Minerals, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $75.24, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $119.66. With 10 out of 11 models flagging downside (-37.1% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $140.89 (+17.7%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $5.53 (-95.4%). This +113.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about United States Lime & Minerals, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About USLM?

11 of 13 models are currently active for USLM. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for USLM is $75.24 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $108.57 on its own, implying -9.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does USLM Rank in Building Materials?

Among 19 Building Materials stocks, USLM ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.7 places USLM in the top tier.

As a industrial sector, United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. operates in a sector where organic revenue growth is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating USLM should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is USLM a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns USLM a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for United States Lime & Minerals, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, United States Lime & Minerals, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 9.7/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +113.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every USLM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across USLM's 11 active models, average confidence is 54%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Building Materials Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Building Materials stocks with 13-model coverage

RETOReTo Eco-Solutions, Inc.QOC 2.4TGLSTecnoglass Holdings Inc.QOC 9.1CXCEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V.QOC 2.5CRHCRH plcQOC 9.0TTAMTitan America SAQOC 2.5CPACCementos Pacasmayo S.A.A.QOC 8.9SMIDSmith-Midland CorporationQOC 8.8JHXJames Hardie Industries plcQOC 7.7BASABasanite, Inc.QOC 3.8

Read investment analysis: RETO · TGLS · CX · CRH · TTAM · CPAC · SMID · JHX · BASA

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to USLM?

7 companies across all industries closest to USLM’s Quality of Company score of 9.7/10.

HRTGHeritage Insurance Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.7QLYSQualys, Inc.QOC 9.7LRCXLam Research CorporationQOC 9.7NSSCNapco Security Technologies, Inc.QOC 9.6FTNTFortinet, Inc.QOC 9.7ZMZoom Communications, Inc.QOC 9.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: HRTG · QLYS · LRCX · NSSC · FTNT · ZM · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About United States Lime & Minerals, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is United States Lime & Minerals, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (USLM)'s intrinsic value at $75.24 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $5.53 to $140.89. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $108.57 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is USLM overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $119.66, 1 of 11 active models suggest USLM may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $75.24, 37.1% below the current price of $119.66 — a consensus view that USLM is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits United States Lime & Minerals, Inc.'s business model in Building Materials.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.7 mean for USLM?

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc.'s QOC of 9.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on USLM?

CirclFi analyzes USLM with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on USLM?

Of the 11 models currently active on USLM, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $140.89 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $5.53. CirclFi's published fair value for USLM is the median of that range, $75.24, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 180% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is USLM a value trap in 2026?

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (USLM) has a median fair value of $75.24 — 37.1% below the current price of $119.66 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/USLM/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this USLM valuation

Market data for USLM as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 11 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on USLM.

Unlock All 11 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

7 models hidden for USLM Unlock All 11 — $39/mo