What Is Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. (MLM) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $322.64. Trading at its current price of $569.68, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -43.4%. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $906.12 (+59.1%), versus EROIC at $32.06 (-94.4%). This +153.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About MLM?
13 of 13 models are currently active for MLM. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates MLM's intrinsic value at $114.70, implying -79.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does MLM Rank in Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)?
Among 22 Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) stocks, MLM ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.7 places MLM in the top tier.
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc.'s positioning within the Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) segment means that order backlog depth plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including automation and productivity gains — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is MLM a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MLM a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Martin Marietta Materials, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. scores 8.7 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +153.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every MLM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across MLM's 13 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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